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To: bentway who wrote (276756)	9/17/2010 8:42:48 PM
From: Broken_Clock	Respond to of 306849

Message 26829709

To: bentway who wrote (276756)	9/17/2010 8:45:11 PM
From: koan	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 306849

D's. But you get Palin as president and she will put us into a huge war.

To: bentway who wrote (276756)	9/17/2010 10:06:57 PM
From: Les H	Respond to of 306849

Charlie Cook, the respected election analyst and publisher of The Cook Political Report, is adamant Republicans will win back the house with the biggest swing in 16 years. Based on a series of Wall Street Journal-NBC, Washington Post-ABC and Gallup polls, Cooke predicts a Republican election advantage over the Democrats of nine to 13 points. "It's going to be over 40 seats but it could be much higher," Cook says. "This is going to be more than a wave, more like a tsunami." The Senate, says Cook, is a different matter. His latest thinking is Republicans will fall just short of the 10 seats needed to control the Senate, but does not rule out the possibility. According to Cook's latest analysis: "Eighteen Senate seats could plausibly turn over -- a dozen by Democrats and six by Republicans . . . the odds still favour Democrats holding their majority, but that is no longer given." What is the future for Obama and his promise to change America if the Democrats lose both houses? Unlike his previous two years, Obama would be forced to engage with Republicans. But this adage works both ways: the Republican leadership may need to engage with the White House, too, unless the party's chief goal remains to prevent Obama's re-election in 2012. Sabato says: "Obama will have little choice but to adapt if he wants a second term. "His role model, ironically, will be Bill Clinton, who faced a dilemma after 1994, and skilfully manoeuvred around a newly resurgent [Republican Party] to win a big re-election." ... The increasingly significant factor in this mid-term congress ballot is the Tea Party and its uneasy relationship with the Republican machine. The Republican leadership has largely embraced the Tea Party movement, which began as a grassroots protest last year against taxes, government control and a grab bag of libertarian issues, including gun rights. Some Tea Party groups are backed by organisations with Republican links, such as FreedomWorks and Americans for Progress. But bringing the Tea Party into the fold has come with the risk of a potential backdoor takeover, and infecting the Republican establishment with some extremist ideas it does not want. If the Republicans lurch further to the right under Tea Party influence-- outside the mainstream -- they risk losing some heartland supporters as well as swinging voters necessary for winning future elections. theaustralian.com.au