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Technology Stocks : Ascend Communications (ASND) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Pullin-GS who wrote (22295)11/10/1997 11:00:00 AM
From: Finder  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 61433
 
Well despite the continued good news that comes out of this compnay we continue to set new 2year(at least) lows.

Amazing. This stock has no support anywhere. Yet every day on this thread we continue to indulge in the mass illusion that a bottom has finally been reached.

Even Tim Luke while remaining bullish has finally given up calling any price a bottom.



To: Pullin-GS who wrote (22295)11/10/1997 11:20:00 AM
From: Harry Ehrlich  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 61433
 
Implied Volatilities

Again, my objective is to be in the correct position for this stock, be it long or short. I could use some help here. I have software that calculates implied volatility, based on 3 month t bill, options prices and current price. Currently options are clustered at 25 and 30. I have calculated the following implied volatilities based on calls:

Nov 25 85
Nov 30 24
Dec 25 80
Dec 30 81

I could use some help with interpretation. My take is as follows. The high volatility of 85 for the Nov 25 call could mean a reversal to the high side. The IV of 24 for the Nov 30 call seems normal and points to a price of 30 at expiration. But the high December volatilities say "watch out" to me. It would indicate reversals below 25.

Anyone that is familiar with implied volatility, please respond. Thanks.

Harry