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Politics : View from the Center and Left -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Katelew who wrote (145018)9/22/2010 1:49:29 PM
From: KyrosL  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 542941
 
Sure all elections are local. But national trends do affect local elections at the margin. That's why if Dems and Reps are only a few points apart, relatively small changes in perceptions can result in a different result.

Right now I would sell Intrade's "Republicans to control House after 2010", which trades at 73%. I don't think the Democrats are at 50% yet, but the trends currently favor them.



To: Katelew who wrote (145018)9/22/2010 2:54:32 PM
From: Cogito  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 542941
 
>>Eighteen percent of those questioned in the latest poll considered themselves part of the Tea Party movement. Of those, they supported Paladino by 77 percent to 18 percent for Cuomo.<<

That's an interesting nugget of information. I'm surprised that the candidate who is backed by the Tea Party doesn't get all of the Tea Party votes.


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