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To: Sonki who wrote (13015)11/10/1997 12:22:00 PM
From: TechnoWiz  Respond to of 27012
 
MCIC probably not worth 55, mkt does'nt seem to believe it, at least this am. Valuation is definately at the very high end. I sense there is some trepidation over this deal. A lot of things could go wrong, competition is intense, but new entity will have a master lock on the Internet which is where the major growth is...but then you've got MSFT as a potential new behemoth Inet/phone player to contend with.

WCOM looks heavy here and probably looks lower before higher. Technically this looks like a retest of Oct 28 low, so bottom window is anywhere from here down to about $25, though I think it will probably hold around 30.

Notwithstanding, WCOM is a formidable player that wants to become what its name implies: "The" FIRST truly GLOBAL TELCO. WCOM always seems to come back stronger following each acquisition, but this is a pretty big fish for a smaller one to swallow.

Still a further 11th hour bid for MCIC might affect this equation very positively, because it would validate WCOM's valuation of MCI and most probably increase values all around. The future of telecommunications is at stake here, so I would not rule out another bid or a rash of mergers which could potentially raise values.

Rgds

Tec



To: Sonki who wrote (13015)11/10/1997 4:58:00 PM
From: dougjn  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 27012
 
Sonki, why didn't you read my posts in wcom & then mcic over last month? Lots of people there followed my consistent and absolutely certain advice (so far as I was concerned) as to what to do. (I am very rarely so certain. Of course nothing is absolutely certain.) I am holding a huge position in Mcic avg. price 35.25

I had very large position in Wcom since 24 in late spring which I sold day after initial offering by wcom, for Mcic, which I picked up at abt 35.25. Then I bought more of it. Cause I knew Wcom quite well. Was absolutely certain they could beat anyone by 2nd day of looking. And that they would. Only question was how high they might have to go....And there was fabulous downside protection in a toppy market... Then I bought even more around the mini panic time. Then, Thursday I told everyone on the threads that I saw very strong upward motion in Mcic stock that suggested to me that a deal was leaking....and even though I hadn't been expecting for a week or two on deal dynamics, bought more. At 37. When it went down next day in strong slump (but held up real well, relatively), I even bought a bit more.

Detailed reasons why all the way through. Not gonna go through it all again here. Deal WILL close at 51. Only issue is how long it takes. Small chance of small portion of Wcom/MCI/s internet assets required to be sold as a condition. Small part. Small chance.

Wcom/Mcic synergies are the most compelling I have ever seen in a major deal in my career. Absolutely compelling.

Wcom is cheaper, in terms of earnings effect, than the great majority of major deals. Reason why is Wcom/Mcic synergies blow away anyone elses w/MCIC. Anyway, I laid it all out.

Regards, Doug



To: Sonki who wrote (13015)11/10/1997 5:09:00 PM
From: Mitchel S. Untracht  Respond to of 27012
 
have held nice size position of worldcom for 2 1/2 years. forget the numbers. bernie ebbers is the man. in an interview about 1 year ago, he stated that his goal was to be not number 1 in telecom. but number 1 on wall street. don't touch your present position and would add if you can get <30.