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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: carranza2 who wrote (281138)10/5/2010 5:54:24 PM
From: patron_anejo_por_favorRead Replies (2) | Respond to of 306849
 
>>A share price of $30 is not out of the question in 2-3 years.<<

If they meet those production targets and do hit the billiion dollar mark for earnings in 2013 (say), I'd also expect some PE expansion. At even a 20 PE, they'd be at 50. If production increases due to a skyrocketing POG (say 2500-3000), then 100 is in play.



To: carranza2 who wrote (281138)10/5/2010 6:23:39 PM
From: orkriousRead Replies (2) | Respond to of 306849
 
If gold is at $2000, that is $1 billion in gold revenue per year. As it has 391 million shares outstanding and, unlike a lot of miners, is not in the business of issuing shares to raise capital, that's slightly more than $25 worth of pre-tax revenue per share referable exclusively to gold.


There is something wrong with your math. You are off by a decimal place.

Regardless, it will be making big money, with huge growth.

It also assumes no value for El Morro, which comes on line when, 2013 or 2014? Its reserves are based on $500 PoG, so it's an even bigger monster than the numbers show, plus there is huge exploration potential. Most of the property is not explored. Even with current assumptions it will be by far NGD's biggest cash flow contributor.

The market may start smelling El Morro anytime and I won't be at all surprised if NGD surpasses Patron's target well before the time Hillary is elected President (2 years).

For those that don't have time to listen the presentation, here's a link to the PDF.

newgold.com