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Strategies & Market Trends : Shorting stocks: Mechanical aspects -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Q. who wrote (41)11/10/1997 8:44:00 PM
From: Ted Jackson  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 172
 
I would tend to agree. Remember IMPX? I was long on the stock and managed to get out right within 3/8 of the top. I was still inexperienced at the time (mostly luck that I got 8 points out of it). Anyway, it was also my first call purchase within 1.5 of the top.

Needless to say, I lost my ass as it tumbled from 21 or so all the way down. There was a great deal of short interest at the time. I guess the interesting thing is that it was still a good short at 4 because now it's around 1.5 I think.

Thanks for the reply, however my question still remains...is short interest a good technical indicator, and if so, in what way should it be interpreted? If it isn't, then what's the use of knowing it except for curiosity's sake?



To: Q. who wrote (41)7/22/1998 11:28:00 AM
From: T. Pascal  Respond to of 172
 
>>That's the key issue, I think. Understanding the fundamentals, and putting a value for the stock on those fundamentals, rather than just relying on technical indicators like how much the stock has fallen.<<

I'd agree with you if you were talking about long positions. But for short positions (unless it's clear the company will go bankrupt which is rare), I would say to set your percentage and get out. Set your target price ("I'm going for 65%!" or "I'm going for 85%"), and when you hit it, vamooooooose the hell out of there.

On the other hand, I would only short a company based on fundamentals, not on technical data. You're right about that. But for my cover decision, I use a target and that's it.

Shorts are for short periods of time, and they can never fully double your money, so don't stick with it. Stocks have a nasty tendency to rise over time, so hit your percentage and skedaddle.