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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Michael Burry who wrote (2414)11/11/1997 8:43:00 AM
From: Ron Bower  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78627
 
Mike,

See DSWLF thread. It has a lot of garbage on it from me, but there's some very knowledgable people on it.

Purely conjecture - NamTai owned a large amount of DSWLF and they've been raising cash by selling off the stock. The price showed slight weakness to 18.75 on low volume before the earnings release. After the release it ran up to 19.50 on a slight increase in volume, then suddenly plunged to 17.50 on high volume. It appeared to me that a market maker had timed a sale of stock with the earnings release. Would have had a group of buyers lined up.

This is the only way I can account for the sudden drop and extremely high volume against the earnings report.

This company has been showing 60% growth every Q!! Price down due to Asian selloff, but everything that's happening is beneficial to Deswell. I have been acquiring and it's now a huge part of my holdings. Also have the DSWWF warrants. Two Ws entitle a buy on one share for 9.00. Generally sell at a 10% premium. Right now stock is better value on growth, risk, and for dividends ($1.00 and likely to go higher as they pay a percentage of earnings)

For what it's worth,
Ron



To: Michael Burry who wrote (2414)11/11/1997 9:44:00 PM
From: Vol  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 78627
 
MB, BTW great thread. I'm a long time lurker and appreciate the good FA here. I've got a few stocks I'm looking for turn arounds in that I feel have good fundamentals - UGLY and INVN.

UGLY sells used cars. Their revenue this last qtr increased 150% c/w last year's qtr, but they had a one time charge of $6MM for switching to a new loan servicing program(??). First call estimates 30% long term growth and they have the lowest PE since the co's history (14). Plus, they announced a 1 MM share stock buy back program last month.

INVN makes explosives detection equipment for airports. They recently blew out earnings over 50% above estimates for this qtr. No debt and also at the lowest PE since their IPO. Long term growth estimated at 35%.

Both stocks have been in free fall lately and are making new 52 week lows. What do you think? (I don't own either stock, yet.)

Thanks,
Vol



To: Michael Burry who wrote (2414)11/11/1997 11:02:00 PM
From: SpecialK  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78627
 
Another value stock worth considering. SGNS
Signature Inns price is 5.25, cash is 5, book value is 3.75 or so.
Just reported earnings of .43 vs. .40 beating est of .33.

Also, est for this year are .50 and .70 for next year. Any thoughts would be welcome. Seems like they are turning the corner, yearly high low is 9 and 5.

Ketan