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Politics : Just the Facts, Ma'am: A Compendium of Liberal Fiction -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Sully- who wrote (82166)11/2/2010 5:58:09 PM
From: Sully-  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 90947
 
Democratic campaign manager: ‘Turnout isn’t where we need it to be in our strong areas.’

By: Mark Hemingway
Commentary Staff Writer
11/02/10 2:35 PM EDT

I would caution you not to read much of anything into anecdotal evidence, but the campaign of Rep. Steve Kagen, D-Wis., sent out the following email:

<<< Dear XXXX,

We have just been going over the morning voting numbers – and turnout isn’t where we need it to be in our strong areas.

This race is going to be a squeaker – and every vote will count.

Please call your friends, family and neighbors and make sure they vote. If you can get five of your friends to vote, we will win.

You can register to vote at your polling place. Find your polling location by clicking here. Please forward this email to your friends in the district.

Sincerely,

Julie Heun, Campaign Manager

Kagen4Congress >>>

Read more at the Washington Examiner: washingtonexaminer.com



To: Sully- who wrote (82166)11/2/2010 6:09:41 PM
From: Sully-  Respond to of 90947
 
Cuyahoga County, Ohio, Not Coming Out in Big Numbers

Jim Geraghty
The Campaign Spot

Over in Ohio, Third Base Politics sends word that the Board of Elections director says Cuyahoga County -- the one that includes Cleveland -- is on pace for 430,000 out of about 978,000 registered voters, roughly 43 percent turnout.

For perspective, the county made up almost all of Obama's margin of victory in Ohio in 2008. Obama won 458,422 votes in this county in 2008, and beat McCain by 258,542 votes; Obama's margin in Ohio was 262,224.

Democrats Ted Strickland and Lee Fisher needed big margins out of Cleveland, and so far, it's not coming together for them.

UPDATE: The prediction is now revised downward: 410,000.

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To: Sully- who wrote (82166)11/2/2010 6:13:26 PM
From: Sully-  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 90947
 
Gallup: 2010 Enthusiasm Gap Is Roughly Double 1994, 2006

Jim Geraghty
The Campaign Spot

Can you stand one more poll? Because Gallup offers one last doozy before the votes are counted:

<<< Americans' enthusiasm about voting exceeds the recent midterm election high set four years ago, with 50% of Americans and 53% of registered voters saying they are more enthusiastic than usual about voting in 2010.

These results are based on the USA Today/Gallup final 2010 pre-election poll, conducted Oct. 28-31.

The record level of overall enthusiasm is primarily the result of Republicans' heightened excitement -- 63% of Republicans (including Republican-leaning independents) say they are more enthusiastic than usual about voting. That not only greatly exceeds Democrats' expressed enthusiasm this year, but also is substantially higher than what Gallup has measured for either party's supporters on the eve of a midterm election.

The high level of Republican enthusiasm has led to the largest gap in enthusiasm by party of any recent midterm elections, 19 percentage points. The prior highs were nine points in favor of the Democrats in 2006, and nine points in favor of the Republicans in 1994.

The party with the advantage in enthusiasm has won the greater share of the national congressional vote, and gained seats in the House, each election year since Gallup began tracking voter enthusiasm in 1994. >>>


Got that? "The largest gap in enthusiasm by party of any recent midterm elections, 19 percentage points." Roughly double 1994 or 2006! Either Gallup is way off, or we're going to see epic Republican wins tonight.


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