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Politics : President Barack Obama -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: koan who wrote (85088)11/7/2010 9:28:51 PM
From: ChinuSFO  Respond to of 149317
 
And this is a very good point. As the author points out, Obama has two more years to show a turnaround. He should go with the tax cuts. If it does not turn around then he can say that he tried to work with the Republicans who reversed the upward trend. If it continues to go up, he can point to the fact that he had already set the economy on the right track before the Nov. 2010 elections. He is very well poised for making a good case in 2012. Heads I win, tails you lose kind of a situation.
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Ritholtz: Does Barack Obama Have George H. W. Bush Senior Syndrome?
Published: Friday, 5 Nov 2010 | 4:33 PM ET
By: Barry Ritholtz is CEO, Director of Equity Research for Fusion IQ

Damn, those Republicans work fast — the jobs situation is already improving!

In all seriousness, I am not (yet) willing to bet, based on a single recent data point, that the employment situation has turned around.

However, the data point does raise a fascinating question: Does Barack Obama have George Bush Senior Syndrome?

A brief refresher: Following a recession, George H.W. Bush lost a 3 way 1992 election that included Ross Perot, and swept Bill Clinton into the White House. Clinton “felt your economic pain,” while James Carville drilled into anyone who would listen that “Its the Economy, Stupid.”

Yet, the reality was, that economy had already come out of recession and was improving prior to the November election. It just didn’t feel that way to the electorate, composed as it was of humans, and their sticky wetware that looks backwards, not forwards, when it comes to sentiment.

Bush senior was a one term President, with the country failing to recognize the improving economic. In some ways, Obama has the more fortuitous timing — he still has two years before the Presidential race.

But following today’s NFP (Non-farm payroll) report, we cannot help but wonder: How big an impact was luck by a mere few months in the Mid-Term elections? We won’t find out for a quarter or two, but its a fascinating question . . .