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To: elmatador who wrote (142030)	11/20/2010 5:50:29 PM
From: Eric	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 206138

The Chinese Coal Monster - running out of puff Posted by Euan Mearns on November 19, 2010 - 10:32am Topic: Supply/Production Tags: china, economic growth, fridley, peak coal, richard heinberg, rutledge [list all tags] In July of this year I wrote a story called The Chinese Coal Monster drawing attention to the fact that China would soon account for 50% of global coal production and consumption. 10% per annum growth in Chinese coal is clearly unsustainable and I posed the question "How long can this go on?" An article published in the Wall Street Journal earlier this week called China's Coal Crisis suggests the answer to this question is not much longer. Policy makers [in Beijing] are mulling an annual cap of between 3.6 billion tons and 3.8 billion tons in the next five-year plan, running from 2011 to 2015, the state-run Xinhua news agency reported earlier. A Nature publication called The End of Cheap Coal by Heinberg and Fridley was also published this week. This refers to earlier work such as Blackout (Heinberg), Hubbert's peak - the coal question (Rutledge) and A global coal production forecast with multi-Hubbert cycle analysis (Patzek and Croft). The most notable thing about Heinberg and Fridley's (on The Oil Drum known as Sparaxis) comment is that it is published in Nature. More commentary and full reproduction of The Chinese Coal Monster below the fold.... The story continues here: europe.theoildrum.com