To: george who wrote (3891 ) 11/12/1997 10:19:00 AM From: Robert Graham Respond to of 42787
TA is technical analysis. It is the use of price and volume and their relationships in order to determine the probabilities of future action by the stock. The classical method is a chart based method that looks for price patterns, support and resistance levels, and perhaps calculates moving averages. The more modern form uses mathematically calculated indicators to suppliment what can be more explicitely read from the chart. This approach is more suitable for a computer based computation where the calssical technique, before the advent of the computer or even the calculator, worked by hand any calculations required in the calssical analysis approach. Other forms of TA also has been developed like Elliot Waves, Gann lines, and even atrological approaches. I for one do not adhere to the astrological approaches; heck I do not believe in horoscopes. But as you can see, TA has attracted many different followers who have brought thier own perspective to TA. Fundamental analysis involves utilizing the company's financial reports and other aspects of the business, like their products and how they are marketing their prodiucts in relation to their competitors, to determine the "value" of the company as an investment. The idea here is that the market will over time recognize the inherent or "true" value of the company and invest in its stock accordingly. This relates to the thinking represented by the Efficient Market Theory and its alternate forms (Strong and Weak). Next, there is the analysis of a stock's tape. Orthodox tape readers think nothing is important except the tape. The tape will tell the investor or speculator everything they need to know in order to make purchase and sale decision regarding a given stock because the tape reflects the action made by all of the participants in the stock which directly impacts the price of the stock. From this picture, the tape reader can determine the probabilities of the stock's next move in price. However, many tape readers combine their approach with TA, and even FA. There is another approach that looks at the fundamentals of the market, which personally is an area that I am not studied up on. From what I understand, the idea here is to examine the funamental forces in the market that impact stock prices. In other words, this approach is to determine where the money is moving to and how it is being used in the market. Tape reading and charting can help here. Also the periodic report that comes out which describes the short positions that the professionals have taken in stocks, for example.. Larry Williams is a technician that is following this approach which suppliments his technical analysis of stocks. I hope this helps. Bob Graham