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Politics : The Environmentalist Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Land Shark who wrote (31372)	12/20/2010 4:40:20 PM
From: longnshort	Respond to of 36918

only 2 days have been above average in dec here in the DC area

To: Land Shark who wrote (31372)	12/20/2010 8:26:35 PM
From: Wharf Rat	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 36918

And the Aussies. Don't forget Oz. South-east Asia will be hardest hit by climate change, ONA predicts Philip Dorling and Richard Baker December 16, 2010 AUSTRALIA'S top intelligence agency believes south-east Asia will be the region worst affected by climate change by 2030, with decreased water flows from the Himalayan glaciers triggering a ''cascade of economic, social and political consequences''. The dire outlook was provided by the deputy director of the Office of National Assessments, Heather Smith, in a confidential discussion on the national security implications of climate change with US embassy officials. ''South-east Asia because of political turmoil, a growing youth demographic and a general increase in population [will be] worst affected,'' a US government cable reporting the briefing noted. ''South-east Asia faces wild monsoons variations, with effects on littoral infrastructure, agriculture, marine currents and fish stocks. Coastal cities to be hit by subsidence and rising sea levels.'' The ONA, which assesses information provided by Australia's other intelligence agencies and advises the Prime Minister, predicted increased conflict in the Kashmir region because of a decrease in flows into the River Indus. ''Internal migrations in multi-ethnic countries may cause more problems than cross-border migration,'' the cable said. The cable, obtained by WikiLeaks and released to the Herald, also revealed that the Australian government was encouraging Pacific nations expected to be inundated by rising sea levels to think ''incrementally'', despite the likelihood their citizens might be eventually forced to evacuate. ''[Foreign Affairs] secretary [Michael] L'Estrange said Australia planned to raise the issue at the Pacific Islands Forum meeting … and would urge the Pacific island nations to address environmental problems incrementally rather than focusing on worst-case scenarios immediately,'' the cable stated. The cable says the ONA predicted global temperatures would rise 2 degrees by 2050 and 4 degrees by 2100. Ms Smith is reported as saying the effect of climate change in east Asia would become serious by 2030. The agency believes the Arctic ice melt will have positive and negative consequences that will raise a host of international legal issues. It assessed China as potentially the biggest loser because of decreased river flows, an event that could lead to international confrontations with states sharing the Mekong system, the cable reported. It said the ONA said expected food shortages could force ''China to trade for the first time in new agricultural markets''. theage.com.au