To: Donald Wennerstrom who wrote (50501 ) 12/23/2010 11:42:56 AM From: Donald Wennerstrom 1 Recommendation Respond to of 95572 Dec 23, 2010 10:09 AM Micron: Bulls See DRAM Bottoming, NAND Opportunities Posted by Tiernan Ray Shares of Micron Technology (MU) are down 26 cents, or 3%, at $8.02, after the company yesterday missed fiscal Q1 estimates, but management on the conference call said it looked like weakness in the DRAM market was nearing bottom. The company said that weakness in memory chips was the result of sluggish demand for PCs, and that on the bright side, companies were not pouring lots of investment into production capacity, which meant the industry could resolve excess supply in coming months. John Pitzer, Credit Suisse: Reiterates an Outperform rating on the stock, while lowering his price target to $10 from $15. Pitzer argues that some of the weakness in the business is the result of investments Micron had to make this year, including its IM Flash Singapore, or IMFS, joint venture to develop NAND flash memory chips. He says slowness ate the company’s Inotera DRAM joint venture with Taiwan’s Nanya had delayed the expected payoff in memory chips for server computers. But these “headwinds” could become “tailwinds” in 2011, Pitzer believes. He notes there seems to be little downside for Micron with a book value of $7.98 per share. Hans Mosesmann, Raymond James: Reiterates a Strong Buy recommendation and an $18 price target. The revenue number last night was actually in line with Mosesmann’s estimate, but the gross profit margin of $23.3% was lower than the $26.5% he’d been modeling. “as the dust settles in the next several days and weeks we strongly believe that, at a minimum, the cyclical opportunity (DRAMs)will become increasingly evident; and by the CES show in Las Vegas in early January the tablet/SSD theme will be manifestly evident.” Daniel Berenbaum, Auriga Securities: Reiterates a Buy recommendation and an $11 price target. There were no “big surprises” in the quarter, in his view. Like Pitzer, he sees delays at Inotera now behind the company. Gross margin was lower because costs for NAND production did not come down as quickly as expected, he notes. Berenbaum argues the estimates have been too bullish and are still too bullish for Q2. Indeed, the current conensus on EPS is 19 cents. Berenbaum believes it will be more like breakeven, “or a little below.”