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Strategies & Market Trends : How To Write Covered Calls - An Ongoing Real Case Study! -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Herm who wrote (5838)11/12/1997 7:24:00 PM
From: Douglas Webb  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 14162
 
So during this little mini-bear market, you've been writing at the money covered calls, waiting for the next dip, and buying them back, right?

I covered my calls after the first big drop, and haven't written any since then. I keep expecting the recovery to happen, because it does keep happening. I'm losing, though, because it keeps reversing again.

What's your thought process, and what are you looking at, when you decide "Okay, I'm going to sell calls now" and "Okay, I'm going to buy these calls back now." It can't be the TA we usually follow, because that's screaming "Oversold! Buy Buy Buy!" even as the prices continue to drop. What are the indicators for this sort of market (which, God willing, will be over by the time you respond to this message!)

Doug.



To: Herm who wrote (5838)11/12/1997 9:45:00 PM
From: Spots  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 14162
 
Good not to listen to gloomers and faddists, but I have to
ask myself just what I am too. That's what I'm reflecting
on now. We should be prepared for eventualities, which I
perceive this thread started out doing but has drifted toward
predicting. No matter how you predict, you are a member of
some group of predictors (which, when it's someone else, we
call by names such as gloomers or faddists). This is an
impersonal "you" BTW. Definitely includes me.

I started out (reentered) ccing with PPs and preparation to
be wrong. That worked. Now I've dropped the ball.

I'd like to hear people's thoughts on how to pick the ball up
again. We're all guessing at some level, of course, though
some guess with better insight than others. My insight is
minimal, which I'm trying to overcome.

So, thread, a challenge: Suppose things work out for the
worst. At each point, I mean. How do we cover that
eventuality? At what cost? Etc. Maybe these aren't the right questions. If not, what are?

Specifically, Herm, in your best opinion (and your guesses
are better than most I observe), suppose this isn't early
house cleaning but something else -- whatever's worst. What
then? This is only an example of what I'd like to see us
discussing, but an important example IMHO.

Regards



To: Herm who wrote (5838)11/12/1997 10:16:00 PM
From: RCVJr  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 14162
 
Herm - I have done a little chipping away with VVUS as well but am concerned about writing a CC and, with my luck, one of the big news events we are waiting for will be announced the next day and I'll find myself buying the calls back at a higher price. Is it just a risk one has to take in this market?



To: Herm who wrote (5838)11/13/1997 3:44:00 AM
From: R. Gordon  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 14162
 
Herm,

I've been away for a while and saw how VVUS has come down hard. How have you managed with your CCs during this drop? Hope all is going well for you and your compatriots. This is the sort of thing that makes me a little gun shy of CCs. Did you or your friends ever get protective puts?

Best Wishes,

Richard