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To: Witmyer who wrote (3221)11/13/1997 11:56:00 AM
From: ed doell  Respond to of 10786
 
All ALYD a message from "Westy"

Westergaard Online Weekly Interpreter westergaard.com

Editor John Westergaard reporting:

>>WHERE ARE YOU GUYS NOW WHO ACCUSED ME AND OTHERS OF HYPING THE
INTERNET TWO YEARS AGO???

No question but that there's a lot of hype out in the world. People
want to be heard while a battle rages for media "shelf space" --
information overload, they call. I'm criticized for this at times. I
tend to state my views in no uncertain terms which leads some of my
best friends to complain about me being hyper.

When Senator Pat Moynihan and I met with Bob Rubin at Treasury last
December and I told Rubin he would be vilified when leaving office in
2001 for failing to deal with the Year 2000 Problem, Moynihan on the
way out said, "John, you were a little strong, weren't you?" That was
telling me to cool it in his typically gentlemanly manner.

Last night I had dinner with Richard Holman, publisher of The Wall
Street Transcript, who smiled benignly as I laid out the forthcoming
Y2K disaster scenario. He was responding with "ridicule by body
language". He probably doesn't even realize it himself and I certainly
didn't take it personally but it was disturbing to find a Wall Street
publisher so uninformed about the problem.

Which gets me to my point. Two subjects have emerged in recent years
where I and others have been accused of hype. One is this Y2K Problem.
My response is that over the course of almost two years now there is
not a single fact that I have learned about the matter that has not
supported the my extreme scenario. THE Y2K PROBLEM LOOKS WORSE AND
WORSE EVERY SINGLE DAY.

The other so-called hype has to do with the role of the Internet in
profoundly changing the culture of how business is done, not to speak
of virtually every other field of human endeavor. Two years ago it was
widely charged that this global view of the Internet was as much hype
as it was reality. You rarely hear that today but you heard it a lot
two years ago.

What brings this to mind is the lead story in the current issue of
Internet Week about the experience of Cisco in marketing its
networking products via the Internet.

Cisco began this Internet marketing effort a year ago. The results
have been beyond belief. Its marketing site, Cisco Connection Online
(CCO), which automates product ordering and customer support
activities, now accounts for 40% of sales, projected at 50% by year
end. That amounts to sales of $9 million per day which is a $3 billion
annual rate.

Think about that. From a standing start this company has in one year
shifted the processing of $3 billion of its business to the Internet
saving an estimated $270 million in expenses. Amazing, amazing!!!

Soooo.... you guys out there who accused me of hyping the the
Internet two years ago. Where are you now? And you know what -- you
are same guys who today accuse me and others of hyping the Y2K
Problem??? And you also know what -- I won't be hearing from you a
year from now either as panic sets in and the market drops 40%.

You read it here first!!!<<

Good luck to everyone,

Ed