SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Donald Wennerstrom who wrote (50887)1/20/2011 7:17:01 PM
From: robert b furman  Respond to of 95500
 
Hi Don,

Business is good and getting better.

String out the order bank and wait for the Capex increases to build back the backlog.

The concept is level production the most efficient manufacturing method there is.

Your stretch out the top and level the peaks.

Ahh maturity of a sector.

As more mergers occur the Oems will have to get used to more of it.

Bob



To: Donald Wennerstrom who wrote (50887)1/20/2011 7:18:14 PM
From: Gottfried1 Recommendation  Respond to of 95500
 
bpNDX fell three to 86% [STX MICC FFIV]

Jan06 Jan07 Jan10 Jan11 Jan12 Jan13 Jan14 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20
AAPL AAPL AAPL
AAPL AAPL AAPL ADBE ADBE ADBE
AAPL ADBE ADBE ADBE ADP ADP ADP
ADBE ADP ADP ADP ADSK ADSK ADSK AAPL
AAPL ADP ADSK ADSK ADSK AKAM AKAM AKAM ADBE
AAPL ADBE ADSK AKAM AKAM AKAM ALTR ALTR ALTR ADP
ADBE ADP AKAM ALTR ALTR ALTR AMAT AMAT AMAT ADSK
ADP ADSK ALTR AMAT AMAT AMAT AMGN AMGN AMGN AKAM
ADSK AKAM AMAT AMGN AMGN AMGN AMZN AMZN AMZN ALTR
AKAM ALTR AMGN AMZN AMZN AMZN APOL APOL APOL AMAT
ALTR AMAT AMZN APOL APOL APOL BBBY BBBY BBBY AMGN
AMAT AMGN APOL BBBY BBBY BBBY BIDU BIDU BIDU AMZN
AMGN AMZN BBBY BIDU BIDU BIDU BIIB BIIB BIIB APOL
AMZN APOL BIDU BIIB BIIB BIIB BMC BMC BMC BBBY
APOL BBBY BIIB BMC BMC BMC BRCM BRCM BRCM BIDU
BBBY BIDU BMC BRCM BRCM BRCM CA CA CA BIIB
BIDU BIIB BRCM CA CA CA CELG CELG CELG BMC
BIIB BMC CA CELG CELG CELG CERN CERN CERN BRCM
BMC BRCM CELG CERN CERN CERN CHKP CHKP CHKP CA
BRCM CA CERN CHKP CHKP CHKP CHRW CHRW CHRW CELG
CA CELG CHKP CHRW CHRW CHRW CMCSA CMCSA CMCSA CERN
CELG CERN CHRW CMCSA CMCSA CMCSA COST COST COST CHKP
CERN CHKP CMCSA COST COST COST CTRP CTRP CTRP CHRW
CHKP CHRW COST CTRP CTRP CTRP CTSH CTSH CTSH CMCSA
CHRW CMCSA CTSH CTSH CTSH CTSH DELL DELL DELL COST
CMCSA COST DELL DELL DELL DELL DTV DTV DTV CTRP
COST CTSH DTV DTV DTV DTV EBAY EBAY EBAY CTSH
CTSH DELL EBAY EBAY EBAY EBAY ERTS ERTS ERTS DELL
DELL DTV ERTS ERTS ERTS ERTS ESRX ESRX ESRX DTV
DTV EBAY ESRX ESRX ESRX ESRX EXPD EXPD EXPD EBAY
EBAY ERTS EXPD EXPD EXPD EXPD EXPE EXPE EXPE ERTS
ERTS ESRX EXPE EXPE EXPE EXPE FAST FAST FAST ESRX
ESRX EXPD FAST FAST FAST FAST FFIV FFIV FFIV EXPD
EXPD EXPE FFIV FFIV FFIV FFIV FISV FISV FISV EXPE
EXPE FAST FISV FISV FISV FISV FLEX FLEX FLEX FAST
FAST FISV FLEX FLEX FLEX FLEX FSLR FSLR FSLR FISV
FISV FLEX FSLR FSLR FSLR FSLR GENZ GENZ GENZ FLEX
FLEX FSLR GENZ GENZ GENZ GENZ GILD GILD GILD FSLR
FSLR GENZ GILD GILD GILD GILD GOOG GOOG GOOG GENZ
GENZ GILD GOOG GOOG GOOG GOOG GRMN GRMN GRMN GILD
GILD GOOG GRMN GRMN GRMN GRMN HSIC HSIC HSIC GOOG
GOOG GRMN HSIC HSIC HSIC HSIC ILMN ILMN ILMN GRMN
GRMN HSIC ILMN ILMN ILMN ILMN INFY INFY INFY HSIC
HSIC ILMN INFY INFY INFY INFY INTC INTC INTC ILMN
ILMN INFY INTC INTC INTC INTC INTU INTU INTU INFY
INFY INTC INTU INTU INTU INTU ISRG ISRG ISRG INTC
INTC INTU ISRG ISRG ISRG ISRG JOYG JOYG JOYG INTU
INTU ISRG JOYG JOYG JOYG JOYG KLAC KLAC KLAC ISRG
ISRG JOYG KLAC KLAC KLAC KLAC LIFE LIFE LIFE JOYG
JOYG KLAC LIFE LIFE LIFE LIFE LINTA LINTA LINTA KLAC
KLAC LIFE LINTA LINTA LINTA LINTA LLTC LLTC LLTC LIFE
LIFE LINTA LLTC LLTC LLTC LLTC LRCX LRCX LRCX LINTA
LINTA LLTC LRCX LRCX LRCX LRCX MAT MAT MAT LLTC
LLTC LRCX MAT MAT MAT MAT MCHP MCHP MCHP LRCX
LRCX MAT MCHP MCHP MCHP MCHP MICC MICC MICC MAT
MAT MCHP MICC MICC MICC MICC MRVL MRVL MRVL MCHP
MCHP MICC MRVL MRVL MRVL MRVL MSFT MSFT MSFT MRVL
MICC MRVL MSFT MSFT MSFT MSFT MXIM MXIM MXIM MSFT
MRVL MSFT MXIM MXIM MXIM MXIM MYL MYL MYL MXIM
MSFT MXIM MYL MYL MYL MYL NFLX NFLX NFLX MYL
MXIM MYL NFLX NFLX NFLX NFLX NIHD NIHD NIHD NFLX
MYL NIHD NIHD NIHD NIHD NIHD NTAP NTAP NTAP NIHD
NIHD NTAP NTAP NTAP NTAP NTAP NVDA NVDA NVDA NTAP
NTAP NVDA NVDA NVDA NVDA NVDA NWSA NWSA NWSA NVDA
NVDA NWSA NWSA NWSA NWSA NWSA ORCL ORCL ORCL NWSA
NWSA ORCL ORCL ORCL ORCL ORCL ORLY ORLY ORLY ORCL
ORCL ORLY ORLY ORLY ORLY ORLY PAYX PAYX PAYX ORLY
ORLY PAYX PAYX PAYX PAYX PAYX PCAR PCAR PCAR PAYX
PCAR PCAR PCAR PCAR PCAR PCAR PCLN PCLN PCLN PCAR
PCLN PCLN PCLN PCLN PCLN PCLN QCOM QCOM QCOM PCLN
QCOM QCOM QCOM QCOM QCOM QCOM QGEN QGEN QGEN QCOM
QGEN QGEN QGEN QGEN QGEN QGEN RIMM RIMM RIMM QGEN
RIMM RIMM RIMM RIMM RIMM RIMM SBUX SBUX SBUX RIMM
SBUX SBUX SBUX SBUX SBUX SBUX SHLD SHLD SHLD SBUX
SHLD SHLD SHLD SHLD SHLD SHLD SIAL SIAL SIAL SHLD
SIAL SIAL SIAL SIAL SIAL SIAL SNDK SNDK SNDK SIAL
SNDK SNDK SNDK SNDK SNDK SNDK SRCL SRCL SRCL SNDK
SRCL SRCL SRCL SRCL SRCL SRCL STX STX STX SRCL
STX STX STX STX STX STX SYMC SYMC SYMC SYMC
SYMC SYMC SYMC SYMC SYMC SYMC URBN URBN URBN URBN
URBN URBN URBN URBN URBN URBN VMED VMED VMED VMED
VMED VMED VMED VMED VMED VMED VOD VOD VOD VOD
VOD VOD VOD VOD VOD VOD VRSN VRSN VRSN VRSN
VRSN VRSN VRSN VRSN VRSN VRSN VRTX VRTX VRTX VRTX
WCRX WCRX WCRX WCRX WCRX WCRX WCRX WCRX WCRX WCRX
WFMI WFMI WFMI WFMI WFMI WFMI WFMI WFMI WFMI WFMI
WYNN WYNN WYNN WYNN WYNN WYNN WYNN WYNN WYNN WYNN
XLNX XLNX XLNX XLNX XLNX XLNX XLNX XLNX XLNX XLNX
YHOO YHOO YHOO YHOO YHOO YHOO YHOO YHOO YHOO YHOO



To: Donald Wennerstrom who wrote (50887)1/20/2011 7:37:59 PM
From: Donald Wennerstrom2 Recommendations  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95500
 
This is the update of the Bookings, Billings and BtB data tables incorporating the data released by SEMI for the month of December 2010.

The data for December allows for comparison of the year 2010 to previous years at the bottom line. The Bookings for the year of over 18B compares almost identically with the year 2006. The YoY change of 203 percent compared to 2009 reversed 3 years of sharply falling Bookings. For the past 3 months, Bookings have remained in the 1.5 to 1.6 Billing dollar range which hopefully will continue or increase as 2011 unfolds.

Billings increased 145 percent from last year to 16.7B+. It looks like the suppliers pushed hard in December to substantially surpass the November number by almost 150M and produce the highest monthly number for the year.

The large Billings number in December caused the BtB number to decrease to 0.90 for the month. This makes 3 months in a row that Billings has been above Bookings which eats into the Backlog.