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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Madharry who wrote (41131)1/21/2011 4:05:44 PM
From: Madharry  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78910
 
well a quick one day unrealized loss on this purchase. samething happened to last time i bought goog. now selling for around 13 time earnings plus cash! wont be the first time i dont understand mr. market.



To: Madharry who wrote (41131)1/21/2011 5:18:36 PM
From: Paul Senior  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78910
 
Madharry, I'll consider if I want to add to my GOOG position.

I've stood by my estimate of fair value, and maybe it looks like earnings and margins are going to hold up well enough that the stock might actually see $700, which in past is what I've figured I'd be trying to get for my shares.

From my 11/30/10 post:
"IF GOOG outstanding profit margins hold up, GOOG is worth a p/e of 25 or more. IF the 12/'11 analyst average estimate for earnings is correct (about $33/sh), GOOG fair value imo s/b over $800/sh --- higher than the $700 I've been mentioning over the past couple of years."

I am just wondering if prospects for the stock itself are good enough now that maybe I could also sell something that's maybe stalled out and buy more GOOG with funds. For a chance that $700 might be reached sometime this year. It'd be a 14% gain from current $611.