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Politics : View from the Center and Left -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Steve Lokness who wrote (155265)1/29/2011 2:03:46 PM
From: Mary Cluney  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 541627
 
<<<Some trends we see over and over; high debt of Egypt government, need for more oil and unease between those who have and those who don't.>>>

Generally speaking, debt is not the primary problem.

Poor people do not go into debt. They have no assets. Banks will not lend to them. If banks do lend to people who can't repay their loans, then it is all the fault of the bank. The banks will just have to deal with it.

The major problem in the world is the relative disparity between the rich and the poor. When you are making less than $2 a day, you don't have that much debt that you have to worry about.



To: Steve Lokness who wrote (155265)1/29/2011 2:19:45 PM
From: Wharf Rat  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 541627
 
Too many people, all of them waking up and saying "Someday, we'll all be Americans"; one of them no doubt working on a scheme to mine the astroid belt.

Tensions rise on surging food prices

A Tunisian protester holds bread during a demonstration earlier this week.
By Annalyn Censky, staff reporterJanuary 28, 2011: 5:11 PM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Food prices have been rising worldwide, as the cost of raw materials and agricultural products surge, contributing to political unrest around the globe.

In December, international food prices broke an all-time high when they rose 25% for the year, led by rising costs for staples like rice, wheat, and maize, the United Nations reported.

The sharp rise in food prices, in particular, has become "a source of political instability," New York University economist Nouriel Roubini, told CNNMoney's Poppy Harlow, at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland this week.

Roubini, nicknamed "Dr. Doom" for his famously bearish predictions, said spiking energy and food prices pose one of the greatest global threats -- especially to emerging market economies.

Why prices are rising: Bad weather in Australia and Russia over the summer severely diminished wheat crops, partially fueling the latest commodities surge.

Rising incomes in emerging markets like China and India also play a role, analysts at the Eurasia Group say. The growing middle class in those countries has prompted a shift from a grain-based diet to one consisting of more meat.

And a push toward biofuels has also led to rising demand for corn and sugar, pushing up commodity prices.

Where it's hitting: The pinch has been felt most in rapidly developing countries like China, India, and Russia, which still have large portions of their population living in poverty.

Food inflation in China was recently at 9.6%, while in India it surged a staggering 18%.

Countries that depend on imports and don't grow a lot of their own grains, like many Middle Eastern nations, are also feeling the pain from price pressures. The recent turmoil there, with outbreaks of riots and violent clashes with police and military forces, is partially related to surging food prices.

"What has happened in Tunisia, is happening right now in Egypt, but also riots in Morocco, Algeria and Pakistan, are related not only to high unemployment rates and to income and wealth inequality, but also to this very sharp rise in food and commodity prices," Roubini said.

In Egypt alone, food prices soared 17% -- in part because of the worldwide surge in commodities prices but also because of local supply imbalances.

How it's playing out: Many countries in North Africa, including Egypt, subsidize the costs of basic staples. Citizens there pay about 1 cent for a small serving of bread, said Hani Sabra, a research analyst with the Eurasia Group.

But that doesn't mean citizens there are completely insulated from price pressures.

About 40% of Egypt's citizens live off less than $2 a day, so any price increase hurts.

"There's a pretty expensive food subsidy system in Egypt," said Richard Fox, head of Middle East and Africa sovereign ratings at Fitch Ratings. "Having said that, definitely high inflation has been squeezing people's incomes."

Plus there's a thriving black market that often drives up the prices poor households are paying for foodstuffs, Sabra said.

Meanwhile the bigger problem lies not in just prices, but in the fact that when citizens are unhappy, they have little opportunity for political recourse.

"In the U.S. if you're unhappy about who you've deputized, you vote them out in the next election," Sabra said. "It doesn't work that way in Tunisia or Egypt."

money.cnn.com



To: Steve Lokness who wrote (155265)1/29/2011 2:31:01 PM
From: Wharf Rat  Respond to of 541627
 
The need for more oil...Iraq exports will ? temporarily drop in order to make electricity at home...

Iraq's largest hydropower dam grinds to halt
– Thu Jan 27, 11:08 am ET

BAGHDAD (AFP) – Record low water levels at Iraq's largest hydroelectric dam have ground turbines there to a halt, amplifying a power shortage that led to riots last summer, a top official said on Thursday.
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