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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Wharf Rat who wrote (599829)	2/4/2011 10:32:02 AM
From: Brumar89	2 Recommendations Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1582533

James Hansen 1986: Within 15 Years Temps Will be Hotter Than Past 100,000 Years. Posted on January 6, 2011 by hauntingthelibrary 25 metre rises in sea level, tropical temperatures in England, and widespread crop failures are only some of the predictions from Dr James Hansen. Here’s a selection of his predictions from the archives. This one from 1986 on temperature increase in America: Hansen said the average U.S. temperature had risen from one to two degrees since 1958 and is predicted to increase an additional 3 or 4 degrees sometime between 2010 and 2020. The Press-Courier (Milwaukee) June 11 1986 Staying in 1986 for the moment, we have this unequivocal prediction: “Within 15 years,” said Goddard Space Flight Honcho James Hansen, “global temperatures will rise to a level WHICH hasn’t existed on earth for 100,000 years”. The News and Courier, June 17th 1986 Going back to 1982, we find Hansen arguing that if fossil fuel use WAS restricted, England might be a tropical paradise by 2050. If we carried on as normal, the world would be back in the sort of heat last seen in the age of the dinosaurs. Hansen presented results of studies WHICH indicated likely climate changes under different energy policies. If there were slow growth in the use of hydrocarbon fuels, the world in the middle of the next century would be as warm as it WAS 125,000 years ago, when lions, elephants and other tropical animals roamed a balmy southern England. Pursuing present plans for coal and oil, Hansen found, the climate in the middle of the 21st century “would approach the warmth of the age of the dinosaurs” The Leader-Post, January 9th, 1982. By 1989, far from toning it down, Hansen WAS starting to really turn up the heat, predicting totally unprecedented warming so far as mankind WAS concerned: “By the year 2050 we’re going to have tremendous climate changes, far outside what man has ever experienced” said James Hansen, Director of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York City. Computer models by Hansen and others suggest that by the middle of the next century earth’s average temperature may rise 4 to 9 degrees Fahrenheit, possibly altering storm patterns, making crops fail, and raising sea levels to flood low-lying coastal areas. Observer-Reporter, December 7th, 1989 And in 2006, he WAS still going strong. Unabashed by the failure of the world to warm significantly, Hansen WAS still predicting massive temperature increases. Remember that in the interview below, with a British newspaper, he is talking in degrees Celsius for temperature, and in metres (one metre = 3 feet) for sea level rise: “The last time the world WAS three degrees WARMER than today – WHICH is what we expect later this century – sea levels were 25m higher. So that is what we can look forward to if we don’t act soon. None of the current climate and ice models predict this. But I prefer the evidence from the Earth’s history and my own eyes. I think sea-level rise is going to be the big issue soon, more even than warming itself.” The Independent, 17th February, 2006 That’s a 25 metre – 75 feet – rise in sea level by the end of the century. So far, it doesn’t look like this one will fare any better than the rest. hauntingthelibrary.wordpress.com

To: Wharf Rat who wrote (599829)	2/4/2011 10:36:33 AM
From: Brumar89	1 Recommendation Respond to of 1582533

Were the 1960's warmer than the 1950's? Below you'll find three charts all made from NASA GISS (run by James Hansen, whose employee Gavin Schmidt runs Realclimate blog from his office) data as of 1980, 1987, and 2007. As you can see, they've changed the temperature records very significantly over time. NASA’s GIStemp program recalculates old temperatures with every new data run. Like CRU and NOAA, NASA has managed to cool off the prior warm period (like Michael mann did with the Medieval Warm Period. See below (enlarged here) how in 1980, Hansen had the 1960s 0.3C colder than the 1950s. By 1987, it WAS just 0.05C colder and by 2007 it had become 0.05C WARMER. Message 26592691 sppiblog.org In the 1980's they said the 1960's were significantly cooler than the 1950's, by 2007 the 1960's had become WARMER than the 1950's. All three charts are NASA/GISS historical charts issued in diferent years. In addition to looking at the red and blue lines showing the 1950's and 1960's temps, notice how 1980 went from cooler than 1940 to WARMER. Also see: wattsupwiththat.com