SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TobagoJack who wrote (70834)2/4/2011 12:19:41 PM
From: elmatador1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 219888
 
Chanos Explains Why There Won't Be Gentle Landing In China

Jim Chanos gave his latest reasons for shorting China in a video interview with the FT's John Authers.

Chanos pointed to preliminary data on 2010 accounts. "Fixed income investment is now a record 70% of the Chinese economy," he says. Of this $3.5 trillion, Chanos says around $100 billion goes to high speed rail and similar low numbers for other celebrated infrastructure investments. Most of that money is locked up in real estate.

At the peak of the property bubble in the west, fixed asset investment did not pass the high teens.

This data also suggests that a consumer-led recovery in China is more of a myth than ever.

"The problem is that consumers are less and less of this economy as this property bubble has gone on and a large amount of consumption that the consumers are embarking on is real estate related, it's furniture, it's appliances, these sorts of things you buy when you're buying a new house or condominium," Chanos said. "Any time you try to take something that's 70% of your economy and reign it in and transition history tells us that usually the risks are to the downside."

Read more: businessinsider.com



To: TobagoJack who wrote (70834)2/11/2011 4:57:38 PM
From: KyrosL  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 219888
 
Hi TJ. I am on a condo buying expedition around Florida this month, so not checking SI too often. Condos can be had for $25 to $50 per sq ft ( or $270 to $540 per sq meter) in Florida this year. And Greece has not gone bankrupt yet. I think it's got a 50% chance to avoid bankruptcy.