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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: elmatador who wrote (70869)2/6/2011 3:38:01 PM
From: carranza2  Respond to of 218578
 
US's main export, in addition to food, is inflation via USD. It stands to reason that if a currency is pegged to USD, inflation is the result.

China's best bet is to itself export its USD to others and let its currency drift higher. I think this is why we are seeing recent Euro strength. It can also use USD to buy hard goods, commodities, etc.

Duncan makes the point elsewhere that continuing fiscal stimulus, i.e., a big deficit for years to come, is inevitable and necessary. I think he is correct in noting that if deficit spending is cut, demand is eviscerated and the whole Ponzi scheme falls apart. I think he is right. I am changing my mind about the need for deficit spending. Perhaps a necessary evil at this time

The point he makes is that deficit spending needs to be made in a clever way. We should not allow banksters to take slices of it. And we should invest it intelligently, in a way that results in positive outcomes.



To: elmatador who wrote (70869)2/6/2011 8:28:27 PM
From: TobagoJack1 Recommendation  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 218578
 
bad wager

there is no bubble in china

and if there is, it is a bubble to last some time, like from 1 to 2 centuries

and if not, the chinese can take a lot of pain

usa is in worse shape than ireland and greece

china is just usa 1880s

bottom line, bad wager to bet china to pop before usa, because china popped already and has been in a bottoming process for about 311 years, and is now fortified with 600-years of pent-up demand