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To: i-node who wrote (109061)2/13/2011 3:16:23 PM
From: Doren  Respond to of 213183
 
It seems with each offering, perhaps with the exception of the duplicate iPhone4 on Verizon, they've underestimated the popularity of the phone.

It's not like they didn't estimate a shît load more than anyone else estimated...

: v )

However we do have a benchmark for success. A place where we know we have to keep an especially sharp eye.



To: i-node who wrote (109061)2/13/2011 3:47:13 PM
From: Doren  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 213183
 
No doubt once the smart phone Tsunami of expansion stops there will be a huge shake out.

At that point in time I'm guessing Apple to have 30% world wide on phones alone and I expect it to retain the highest profit margins in the business by a wide margin. That's a lot of money.

I expect there will be 3 or 4 major Android manufacturers each splitting razor thin margins. Almost all the shake out victims will be in the Android world. It's going to be terrible for those companies.

No doubt Microsoft will survive until then.

HP might surprise.

Perhaps some generic Linux phones.

After the market is saturated it will be a toss up how many OS's will survive. The world will be very different by then. Microsoft in particular will be an entirely different company. HP will also be entirely different, either a tiny wreck or a major contender.

I have little doubt Android and Apple will have the majority of ALL the iOS market shares but unlike the Androids, Apple will definitely be making the huge money. IF HP transcends it may be making huge money too.