To: E_K_S who wrote (41445 ) 2/23/2011 4:03:54 PM From: E_K_S Respond to of 78748 CS Take on MLPs Weekly Analysis The Hidden Value of the GP 27 pages, 45 exhibits Download Link: sendspace.com From the article:"...The Hidden Value of the GP Our Take on WMB Restructuring: One piece of the value puzzle that maybe missed by some is the value of WMB's GP interest in Williams Partners (WPZ). WMB's stock gained 8.4% as the market's "best kept secret" was revealed on Wednesday. WMB plans to separate into two companies by creating a separate E&P company that will be partially taken public in a planned offering in 3Q11. WMB's remaining interest will be spunout in 2012. There may be additional upside as Credit Suisse's HOLT group calculates a potential value of $38 / share. (Please see page 3 for the HOLT valuation. To note, other integrated natural gas companies with a GP ownership include OKE, EP, and SE. )..." "...Source: Credit Suisse Our Take on WMB Restructuring HOLT Suggests More Upside WMB's stock gained 8.4% after announcing plans to separate into two companies. There may be additional upside as Credit Suisse's HOLT group calculates a potential value of $38 / share:Consolidated Valuation: WMB is priced for stable 6.2% CFROI levels and 2.5% asset growth. Valuation remains conservative to history as the market has tended to price WMB to improve CFROI ~200bps.Sum-of-the-Parts Valuation: o WPZ: $18.37/sh assuming WMB’s 77% interest is valued at market o Other Midstream: $4.48/sh assuming stable CFROI at 7.3% through 2014. o E&P: $4.91/sh assuming CFROI decline from 2.1% to -2.6% by 2014.WMB Plausible Upside: Assuming WMB’s E&P segment is valued in-line with peers, which are priced for 4.4% CFROI levels, $38/sh (35% upside) is warranted. One piece of the value puzzle that maybe missed by some is the value of WMB's GP interest in Williams Partners (WPZ). WMB owns ~210 million units of WPZ (~75% of the total) that has a market value of ~$10.8 billion or $18.40 per WMB share. In addition, WMB is expected to receive about $285 million of cash distributions from WPZ for its GP ownership. This cash flow is taxed at a corporate tax rate (we assume 36%). If we apply a multiple of 15 to 20x after-cash flow, we arrive at a $2.7 billion ($4.68 per share) to $3.6 billion ($6.25 per WMB share) value for just the GP interest. To note, other integrated natural gas companies with a GP ownership include OKE, EP, and SE..." ----------------------------------------------------------- The report provides an excellent perspective on the Energy MLP Universe. Check out page-8- of the article for over performers and under performers. This may provide a good starting point to select undervalued companies. When compared to the YTD performance of the S&P 500, MLP pipeline companies have under performed this index by 5%. Page-20- (Exhibit 40) provides Credit Suisse Coverage Universe. Their top 4 undervalued MLP's: (1) Kinder Morgan Management, LLC KMR (15% undervalued) (2) Boardwalk Pipeline Partners, LP BWP (13% undervalued) (3) Niska Gas Storage Partners NKA (11% undervalued) (4) Plains All American Pipeline, LP PAA (11% undervalued) EKS