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Politics : The Environmentalist Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Alastair McIntosh who wrote (32495)	2/19/2011 10:56:12 AM
From: Maurice Winn	1 Recommendation Respond to of 36917

Even if there is a 7% increase in the likelihood of extreme rain, and they haven't hidden the decline, that 7% might be well within the normal probabilistic variation. What's normal? < The principal finding of the new study is ?that this 7 percent is well outside the bounds of natural variability,? said Francis W. Zwiers, a Canadian climate scientist who took part in the research.> <the likelihood of extreme precipitation on any given day rose by about 7 percent over the last half of the 20th century The article does not address the level of uncertainty in their analysis. Even if there is a 7 percent variability from natural atmospheric variability there is no reason to attribute it to rising CO2.> My climate theory includes high rainfall with cooling as reglaciation gets going. So if there is extra rainfall, it suggests reglaciation is coming, [or at least Little Ice Age] as predicted with 2020 foresight, in 2020. Mqurice