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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: space cadet who wrote (9637)11/13/1997 4:48:00 PM
From: Joss  Respond to of 94695
 
Hi Space,

Perhaps I am wrong, but 2% up on MSFT and 4% up on INTC do not seem like large moves compared to what they have given up since the highs. I think the volatility is more in evidence than an indicator of highs to come. BWDIK?

Steve



To: space cadet who wrote (9637)11/13/1997 5:00:00 PM
From: Bonnie Bear  Respond to of 94695
 
Space cadet:When I can see this many companies whose obscenely high valuations are scarcely untouched, I think you haven't seen the real correction yet. There's a lot of stocks with earnings warnings that went screaming up today. Sit tight. If you're really worried about it cover a short and go long on something, but I think you'll be making a big mistake. This banking collapse is an onion waiting to be peeled.



To: space cadet who wrote (9637)11/13/1997 6:32:00 PM
From: Joseph G.  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
<<the greatest up day in american
history. Dow 10,000 in '98?>>
learn history: there were over 10% up days. Two of such <<the greatest up day in american history>> will give you 10k by Tuesday.

Joe



To: space cadet who wrote (9637)11/13/1997 9:10:00 PM
From: Gary Strike  Respond to of 94695
 
From a popular book, Martin Zweig's "Winning on Wall Street", I wanted to type a paragraph, in order to reinforce my own convictions after today. I don't think Martin will mind:

<Now people begin to get a bit nervous and the pessimism slowly rises. It takes numerous sell-offs over many months before the pessimism really picks up speed. At some point in the midst of a bear market, business conditions worsen and the pessimism grows and grows. It finally reaches the depths of pessimistic thinking when business conditions are terrible. Then we're right back to the beginning of the cycle at the bottom of the bear market, when pessimism is at a peak.>

Since there is nothing to push this market forward, this bear seems to have a long way yet to roam.



To: space cadet who wrote (9637)11/13/1997 9:55:00 PM
From: Tommaso  Respond to of 94695
 
Stay short with stop-loss cover orders to protect you on the upside if you are not diversified and not well margined.

Incidentally, the overseas markets do not look strong at 9:46 EST.

The safe way to short the market is the Prudent Bear Fund, BEARX. See numerous posts on that.

The assumption that there is a ten percent correction every six months as the market goes on to infinite glory is probably risky. That is, the market has been known to go down 40-60% after as long a rise as it's had (7, 10, 15 years or even more)

No one knows which way the market will go. When stocks are as overvalued as they have become it probably will not pay to own them.



To: space cadet who wrote (9637)11/13/1997 11:49:00 PM
From: Investor-ex!  Respond to of 94695
 
S.C.,

Today's action in those three stocks was a blip, look at the charts.



To: space cadet who wrote (9637)11/14/1997 12:09:00 AM
From: purecntry5  Respond to of 94695
 
I was a little worried also until I read your post and perused some other SI threads. DELL for example more Bullish than ever! This talk of DOW 10000 is exactly what is needed for the BK. If you cant stand the fire get outta the kitchen. Nooone ever said it was going to be easy and painless. o):-)

Cowboy Brett