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Technology Stocks : Semi-Equips - Buy when BLOOD is running in the streets! -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Cary Salsberg who wrote (3471)11/13/1997 10:46:00 PM
From: FJB  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 10921
 
Cary,

RE: I presented a Merril Lynch 5 year DUV forecast which I pulled from a Nikon report. It was trashed by most of the CYMI supporters, but I didn't think the numbers they wanted to use came from more reputable sources.

The ML numbers you posted had the following number of DUV steppers shipping '98 to '02: 488, 570, 531, 795, 951

Could you restate why you believe these numbers to be accurate, because they do not jibe with the many press releases coming out of stepper manufacturers and semi-manufcturers, and the economic imperatives of making chips. Merril Lynch may be under the impression that the move to DUV and sub-0.25&#181 geometries is discretionary, while in fact it is a matter of survival for semi-manufacturers. If you also believe it is discretionary, please share your thoughts.

Bob