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To: Madharry who wrote (41709)3/12/2011 2:08:02 PM
From: ValueGuy  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 78748
 
I am stuck on how to come up with a company's intrinsic value.

The formula from the 'Intelligent Investor' seems to be too simplistic.

I read Seth Klarman's 'Margin of Safety', and he suggested that NPV calculation was one of the best ways in trying to come up with a value for the business. However, since NPV requires a lot of data, I am struggling to tick all the right boxes.

Is there a simpler way of trying to come up with intrinsic value? Or should I just stop complaining and get on with the NPV calculations?

I just feel that since I am clueless about how to come up with a decent intrinsic value for any given company, it is difficult to plan entry/exit points.

Help!



To: Madharry who wrote (41709)3/12/2011 4:13:53 PM
From: E_K_S  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 78748
 
Hi Madharry -

Re: Samson Oil & Gas Limited (SSN)

Excellent trading on SSN this past week. You will notice that options are now available for trading on SSN. They started listing them early last week. I plan to use options to hedge my gains rather than out right sells. I really like SSN long term especially their 3.8% royalty give back from Chesapeake Energy Corporation (CHK) from their recent Niobrara land sale to them.

On Pg-22- of the SAMSON OIL & GAS Presentation at the ENERCOM San Francisco Conference held February 22, 2011 valued just their Hawk Springs holdings at a potential $8.20/share (36.1 million bbls net to SSN). samsonoilandgas.com.au

That doesn't even include their other properties described here: samsonoilandgas.com.au

Therefore, I see a lot of potential value in SSN's land assets and continue to hold my shares.

EKS