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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Post-Crash Index-Moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (12217)3/16/2011 6:40:43 PM
From: ggersh  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 119361
 
If your right on the banks then big
losers will be all global banks, RE
worth zero isn't good?



To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (12217)3/16/2011 8:22:37 PM
From: yard_man1 Recommendation  Respond to of 119361
 
Suppose a best case instead:

It doesn't become inhabitable -- but certain areas have to be avoided. They have a significant generating capacity deficit right now. The lives lost don't decrease the demand by that much. Also, there will be review of the operations of all teh nuclear plants there and worldwide -- it may slow projects on the drawing board.

So, that and all the interruptions in the supply chain due to Japan -- and dealing with the displaced folks will take a very large amount of resources and time.

Printing squared will be attempted to support asset prices. The results will be disastrous MUCH more quickly.

Bottom line: There aren't ANY winners. We all lose. The economy is global.



To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (12217)3/16/2011 8:26:12 PM
From: carranza2  Respond to of 119361
 
China wins big even if Japan does not become uninhabitable. It can supply bldg. materials, etc., for the reconstruction.

The 'broken window' bit does not apply to suppliers. They are clearly winners.



To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (12217)3/16/2011 9:08:18 PM
From: orkrious  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 119361
 
if Japan becomes uninhabitable for, say, the next 50 years, who are the big winners and losers likely to be?

Electronic ink manufacturers? <g/ng>



To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (12217)3/16/2011 11:05:21 PM
From: posthumousone1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 119361
 
hmmmm would housing be a winner?
where are all those people going to move too?

our borders are wide open...come on in