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To: koan who wrote (604020)	3/17/2011 1:45:50 AM
From: i-node	1 Recommendation Respond to of 1575391

>> Some official estimates are that Chernobyl killed 500,000 people. Could you please provide a link or citation for that "official estimate"? I didn't think so. Greenpeace estimates don't count.

To: koan who wrote (604020)	3/17/2011 1:48:15 AM
From: d[-_-]b	4 Recommendations Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 1575391

This disaster in Japan is most likey already worse than Chernobyl. It hasn't even reached the level of Three Mile Island yet - Chernobyl had no containment chamber and the Japanese reactors are contained. Get up to date on the current status: japantoday.com

To: koan who wrote (604020)	3/22/2011 10:09:41 PM
From: TimF	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1575391

Some official estimates are that Chernobyl killed 500,000 people "Official" in this context may not be precisely defined, but I doubt that's the case. More to the point even if there is such an "offical" estimate, its an inflated estimate. Esp. since "killed" implies they are already dead, not that they will die of cancer some time in the future, perhaps at an advanced age, but younger than they otherwise would have died at. There where dozens deaths from radiation or other causes directly related to the accident from people who where at the site. Those are clearly due to the reactor accident. The United Nations Scientific Committee of the Effects of Atomic Radiation initially predicted 4000 later deaths from radioactivity, but now says those estimates where too high. ---- The accident at the Chernobyl nuclear reactor that occurred on 26 April 1986 was the most serious accident ever to occur in the nuclear power industry. The reactor was destroyed in the accident and considerable amounts of radioactive material were released to the environment. The accident caused the deaths, within a few weeks, of 30 workers and radiation injuries to over a hundred others. In response, the authorities evacuated, in 1986, about 115,000 people from areas surrounding the reactor and subsequently relocated, after 1986, about 220,000 people from Belarus, the Russian Federation and Ukraine. The accident caused serious social and psychological disruption in the lives of those affected and vast economic losses over the entire region. Large areas of the three countries were contaminated with radioactive materials, and radionuclides from the Chernobyl release were measurable in all countries of the northern hemisphere. Among the residents of Belarus, the Russian Federation and Ukraine, there had been up to the year 2005 more than 6,000 cases of thyroid cancer reported in children and adolescents who were exposed at the time of the accident, and more cases can be expected during the next decades. Notwithstanding the influence of enhanced screening regimes, many of those cancers were most likely caused by radiation exposures shortly after the accident. Apart from this increase, there is no evidence of a major public health impact attributable to radiation exposure two decades after the accident. There is no scientific evidence of increases in overall cancer incidence or mortality rates or in rates of non-malignant disorders that could be related to radiation exposure. The incidence of leukaemia in the general population, one of the main concerns owing to the shorter time expected between exposure and its occurrence compared with solid cancers, does not appear to be elevated. Although those most highly exposed individuals are at an increased risk of radiation-associated effects, the great majority of the population is not likely to experience serious health consequences as a result of radiation from the Chernobyl accident. Many other health problems have been noted in the populations that are not related to radiation exposure. unscear.org