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Strategies & Market Trends : The coming US dollar crisis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Real Man who wrote (36592)3/26/2011 5:18:11 PM
From: carranza2  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 71406
 
So far I am working under a fundamental assumption that
QE2 will be "it", and the printing presses will be temporarily
halted.


I think so, too.



To: Real Man who wrote (36592)3/26/2011 7:29:54 PM
From: carranza23 Recommendations  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 71406
 
A "what if" thought that may be too far out to even think about seriously.

What if the Fed, as the largest holder of Treasuries, were to simply state that it no longer considers the US government bound by a huge chunk of them. In other words, it gives the Treasury a pass on substantial amount of them.

A huge amount of debt all of a sudden gone.

Interest payments gone.

Pressure taken off the budget deficit.

Pressure for tax hikes goes down.

Interest rates I think go down because the full faith and credit of the Treasury rises as the obligation to pay is diminished.

Other holders cannot complain, they get paid.

USD probably goes up in value.

Sounds too good to be true, so there is a huge flaw that I cannot see.



To: Real Man who wrote (36592)3/26/2011 7:30:16 PM
From: ggersh  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 71406
 
Under the assumption that the printing
stops, my thought would be you see a
top in May which coincides perfectly
with "Sell in May and go away". The big
caveat is the wink and nod from the
Bernank. He will tell his buddies first
of course everyone else GFY. -g-

After what has gone on the past couple
of weeks and for the markit to recover
as it has says only that the Bernank
put is stronger than ever. I personally
think the gig is up. -ng-

Even if the economy is recovering can it
survive the next leg of inflation? Ben
lives in and for the bubbles he hath
created. Gold hasn't seen anything yet.
Clownbuck held the 2nd to last line of
support. The game has started as to who
wants to last man out when QE ends?-vbg-

What else can stop it?