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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Paul Senior who wrote (42039)	3/29/2011 7:28:05 PM
From: dDye	Respond to of 78481

Thank you. Very Helpful.

To: Paul Senior who wrote (42039)	3/29/2011 9:16:50 PM
From: Wallace Rivers	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 78481

Looking at TGT as it gets near its 52 week low. Trying to figure out where the warts are to drive it to this price. Is it the credit card biz? Competition from other big box stores and warehouse clubs squeezing margins? Seems like a reasonable bet at this price.

To: Paul Senior who wrote (42039)	3/29/2011 9:57:20 PM
From: Madharry	2 Recommendations Read Replies (5) \| Respond to of 78481

the only problem with this is that for every chevron there r several companies who's employees thought they were set for life with company stock like Xerox, Eastman Kodak , GM, Enron etc. also as we like to say past results no reflective of future performance or we would all be billionaires. With 20-20 hindsight i would have put my childhood savings in Disney, a company that was easy to understand and just left it there. Even better, when my wife had bought a dell computer in 1990, instead of wasting our hard earned savings on a downpayment for an apartment we had just bought dell stock, we could have bought the whole apartment a few years later with the profits, and retired on the balance, and we could have done the same thing later when my wife bought an apple for her next computer. two years ago she bought a subscription to netflix- sigh.

To: Paul Senior who wrote (42039)	3/29/2011 10:40:57 PM
From: Jurgis Bekepuris	Respond to of 78481

I agree with what Madharry said. Also, although I think Chevron may be good investment for five years or so, IMHO, we will get to oil replacement at some point. And it's not clear what will happen to oil companies then. CVX and XOM are really large companies, so it's tough for them to grow. Assuming you want 15% return per year, the size has to double in 5 years, go up 4 times in 10, 16 times in 20 years. Of course, that does not account for dividends and stock buybacks, so theoretically you can get good returns from megacaps. It's still not as easy as starting with CVX or BRK twenty years ago.