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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: goldworldnet who wrote (421184)4/11/2011 8:59:22 AM
From: MrLucky  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 793854
 
Perot hated Bush and he accomplished exactly what he wanted.

Many have said that Perot cost Bush the second term. The statistical analysis done after the election, and there are many, do not show that the Perot entry did it to Bush.

Here is a very brief comment by liberal writer E.J. Dionne:

If Perot hadn’t been in the 92 race, would Bush the elder have beaten Clinton? The exit polling was abundantly clear, and it was widely reported. On November 8, 1992—five days after the election—E. J. Dionne penned a first report in the Post. Headline: “Perot Seen Not Affecting Vote Outcome:”

DIONNE (11/8/92): Ross Perot's presence on the 1992 presidential ballot did not change the outcome of the election, according to an analysis of the second choices of Perot supporters.

The analysis, based on exit polls conducted by Voter Research & Surveys (VRS) for the major news organizations, indicated that in Perot's absence, only Ohio would have have shifted from the Clinton column to the Bush column. This would still have left Clinton with a healthy 349-to-189 majority in the electoral college.

And even in Ohio, the hypothetical Bush "margin" without Perot in the race was so small that given the normal margin of error in polls, the state still might have stuck with Clinton absent the Texas billionaire.