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Gold/Mining/Energy : DISCOVERY BOARD ~ PRECIOUS METALS ENERGY URANIUM OIL -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: PaperPerson who wrote (3674)4/11/2011 5:10:30 PM
From: roymario  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4690
 
Paper, just in case you find Pescod's HAT comments valuable. R.
e-mail: debbie.lewis@canaccord.com e-mail: david.pescod@canaccord.com April 11, 2011
AN INTERVIEW WITH MICHAEL GUNNING, Ph.D.
PRESIDENT, CEO and Director
HATHOR EXPLORATION
(As of April 5, 2011)
We are here with Mike Gunning, who is
the leader of the crew at Hathor Exploration
and needless to say, with what uranium
has gone through over the last
while, for those looking to take an opportunity
in these dark days, maybe
that moment is here.
David Pescod: Mr. Gunning, can we get
your take on what’s next for the uranium
industry, particularly with what’s
next for the nuclear plants around the
world?
Michael Gunning: I think what’s next for the nuclear industry
around the world is that emotions will subside and
rational thought will take over; given the magnitude of the
quake, the reactor fleet in Japan has faired relatively well.
And in the bigger picture, we still have 430 reactors operating
around the world that are providing 15% of base-load
electricity. We still have 60 reactors that are under construction.
Base-load electricity is still a basic measure of
the quality of life, and I just don’t think any of us see that
changing. The earthquake in Japan was more than a
once-in-a-lifetime, truly a once in millennia event and in
the big picture, we can be grateful that the environmental
and human impact from the nuclear plants was so minimal.
At the end of the day, we need to stand back and let the
emotions subside and realize that nuclear power was an
important part of the solution for Japan post war in the
build up of that industrialized nation. It still makes sense
for them today, and in a lot of other countries around the
world. We don’t generate base-load electricity from solar
and wind on the scale of cities with 20 million people, so I
think the reality is we’ve got a fleet of conventional reactors
that we still need to power. We still have a fundamental
supply/demand gap in the industry, mine production of
somewhere around 135 million pounds a year, well short
of demand at around 180 million pounds a year.
Hathor Exploration
David Pescod T: 780.408.1750 Debbie Lewis T: 780.408.1748 Fax: 780.408.1501 Page 2
We’ve made up that short fall during the past 30 years by
inventory, or secondary supply, but those inventories
are going to finally run out by 2013 or 2015. That is what
the industry has been focused on for the last decade.
Fukushima hasn’t changed that, and I think that is why
you saw the spot price rebound fairly quickly after the
Fukushima event. And I think by the end of this year,
you are going to see the spot price continue back on its
climb, back to the $70, $80, $90 range, because I think
that is where it needs to be to incentivize new mine
openings. When you look at the marginal cost of operation
of uranium projects around the world, $50 or $60
just doesn’t do it, you simply won’t get the mine production
that you need to solve the supply/demand gap if uranium
prices stay in the $50 - $60 range.
So, I think for now you just stand back, you let the dust
settle from this Japan event, you let the emotions subside,
and you will see a sector that is still an important
electricity-generator. You will see a sector that still has a
fundamental supply/demand gap and you will realize that
there are mining companies out there that will still be
looking for what I call “best-of-breed” discoveries and
development opportunities because I think the price of
uranium is going to rebound.
The industry needs significant mine openings over the
next three or four years, and I think as an investor, when
you have events like this, you want to come back to your
comfort zone of strong historical districts and jurisdictions,
and in uranium, that means a place like Saskatchewan.
The first mine went into production in 1955, the
Athabasca Basin opened up as a pre-imminent high
grade district in 1975, and 40 years later, Cigar and
McArthur will be still be operating for another 30 years.
You’ve got a Province for which uranium has been a tremendous
contributor to GDP and local employment.
This is a jurisdiction that is not going to blink in the wake
of Fukushima; it has been a terrific industry for that
Province, and the Athabasca Basin is going to continue
to be a world-leader in uranium production. It is districts
like the Athabasca, jurisdictions like Saskatchewan and
new discoveries like Roughrider that you really want to
focus on as an investor because they are not going to
waiver. This industry is not going to disappear.
DP: Let’s get back to the international, let’s get to the
surprising reaction of Germany over the last month or
two.
To receive the Late Edition and be on our daily circulation simply e-mail Debbie at
Debbie.lewis@canaccord.com and give your address, phone number and e-mail and we’ll have you
on the list tonight



To: PaperPerson who wrote (3674)4/11/2011 5:21:33 PM
From: DrBill  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 4690
 
I bought more USSIF on PM weakness. One of us will be right.
Regards
Dr Bill