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Politics : Canadian Political Free-for-All -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Cogito Ergo Sum who wrote (14585)	4/29/2011 6:16:32 PM
From: stuffbug	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 37283

The websites that average the plethora of daily polls have been indicating an NDP opposition since Tuesday or Wednesday. The general consensus is 1. The Blockheads will lose about half their seats. 2. Libs and NDP will change places. 3. Conservatives will stay about the same (may even go up a little, depending on how the vote splits go in the close races) IMHO, if Harper doesn't get his majority, we will see three new leaders within the next 18 months. Maybe even 4, depending on Jack's health. If the scenario plays out as described above, I think the Libs will prop up the Conservatives (no official agreement of course) by voting with the Conservatives or by having a few members coming down with strange illnesses on the days of confidence votes. With a completely demoralized (and broke) Liberal party, it won't be very hard to throw the Libs a few bones to get their support (I would even wager a toonie that Harper could negotiate that deal). Canadian Election Watch is a good site with lots of links. cdnelectionwatch.blogspot.com

To: Cogito Ergo Sum who wrote (14585)	4/29/2011 7:14:10 PM
From: axial	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 37283

Have been posting this link for weeks because the information is comprehensive. sfu.ca Not only does it track individual polls, it breaks everything into granular results. For instance: Also interesting: Second Choices "Probing people about their second choices of party to vote for gives some indication of the room for growth each party has in the near future. However, there has been very little movement in second choice support between April 2010 and 2011, indicating a very settled set of voter preferences. The one major change seen in second choice preferences is the rise in the number of people who would consider the NDP. To the extent that NDP has recently grown as a first choice among voters, that growth does not seem to have displaced second choices by much." Jim