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Gold/Mining/Energy : Big Dog's Boom Boom Room -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Tommaso who wrote (150346)	4/30/2011 6:55:01 PM
From: LoneClone	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 206182

This is a very tough one to call; there are signs that this will be an unusual election, from the very high turnout at the advance pools to the appearance of social media-based 'vote mobs' getting young people out to vote in much higher numbers than usual. But I think the most likely outcome is where we are right now; a Conservative majority. Next most likely I would rank a Liberal-NDP coalition, though I am not sure which of the two would have the most seats. For Harper to form any kind of coalition would be almost impossible because throughout the campaign Harper's #1 tactic has been raving about the dangers of a coalition, brandishing the word the way 'communist' used to be brandished during the long ago days of the Cold War. Plus Harper is a major control freak who has a track record of being unable to work with anyone else. We have a rather complicated system if there is a minority. The leader of the party with the most seats can be invited by the Queen's representative to form a government, but if his party does not have the confidence of the majority of MPs, the next largest party can be invited to try to form a government. Given that the last government ended a few months ago when the Conservatives lost a vote of confidence due to various shenanigans on their part, this is quite possible. There are other wrinkles I won't go into, and then there is the separatist Bloc Quebecois who may survive the NDP wave in Quebec to hold the balance of power, but who would want to form a coalition with them? Personally, I hope it is a Liberal-NDP coalition with the Liberals on top. A consistent theme in Canadian history has been the NDP and its predecessor the CCF coming up with good ideas which are first disparaged and then adopted and implemented by the Liberals and even sometimes the Conservatives. LC