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To: LoneClone who wrote (150376)5/1/2011 1:37:03 PM
From: Bearcatbob  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 206183
 
"If your scenario happens, it will be amusing to watch Layton's rhetoric meet reality. As a no-hoper, he could promise whatever he wanted, but as a coalition partner, major or minor, he will have to dial it way back."

I think we down south are going through a similar process.



To: LoneClone who wrote (150376)5/1/2011 4:13:27 PM
From: All Hands  Respond to of 206183
 
Don't sell your Canadian oil and gas stocks

Worst possible outcome is a Minority Conservative govt.

Right now the NDP is a decidedly marginal political actor in every province of this country, except BC and Ontario. and in neither are they that strong. They have 36 seats - if the get half of the BQ seats in Quebec they would only have another 24 ie 60 Seats. Recall that Tory support has been fairly firm - all the collapse of the BQ would mean is a more evenly distributed representation of the Libs and NDP.

Ignatieff has already written off the possiblity of a Coalition and we can be reasonably certain that he did not come back to be deputy prime minister to a Jack Layton lead NDP minority government in the extremely unlikely scenario that the Tory's as the party with the most seats can't get acquiesence of one of the opposition parties. Clearly another election is off the table.

The last two leaders of the Liberal party have been complete disasters - with an appropriate Leader they would right back in the picture - and the strongest argument they have against the NDP is their being the natural party of government for over 100 years and the lack of governing experience of the NDP - if they go with the NDP as in an NDP minority government then they lose their strongest suit in a battle with the NDP in the future.