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Strategies & Market Trends : Roger's 1997 Short Picks -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Roger A. Babb who wrote (7047)11/15/1997 11:33:00 AM
From: Pancho Villa  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9285
 
Roger RE CTXS >>They have not yet received any of the $100 million potential royalty from MSFT on Hydra.<<

This is not right look at the cash flow statement the positive cash flow from operations in the amount of 69,125,000 came from MSFT!

5 Citrix Systems, Inc.
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows

(Unaudited)
Nine Months Ended
September 30,
1997 1996
----------------------------

Operating activities
Net income $ 28,864,965 $ 11,784,377
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities:
Depreciation and amortization 1,012,578 217,538
Provision for doubtful accounts and product returns 4,177,772 914,573
Tax benefit related to the exercise of non-statutory stock options and
disqualified dispositions of incentive stock options 3,406,613 3,509,763
Deferred tax assets (25,305,333) (841,565)
Changes in operating assets and liabilities:
Accounts receivable (7,213,449) (4,446,636)
Inventories (661,531) (401,092)
Prepaid expenses (288,922) 11,342
Other assets - (1,047,335)
Interest on note receivable from officer - 28,910
Deferred revenue 863,093 594,772
Deferred revenue on contract with stockholder 69,125,000 -
Accounts payable (175,842) 180,686
Accrued royalties and other accounts payable to stockholder 1,309,477 700,419
Income taxes payable 6,520,870 (93,100)
Other accrued expenses 4,617,665 1,015,643
----------------------------
Net cash provided by operating activities 86,252,956 12,128,295



To: Roger A. Babb who wrote (7047)11/15/1997 5:35:00 PM
From: Eric Klein  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9285
 
DDIM - Check out their quarterly report. freeedgar.com

$13 Million in Accts Rcv, $12 Million in sales for the quarter.
Seems a little high to me, what do you think?

September 30, December 31,
1997 1996
------------- ------------

Current Assets
Cash and cash equivalents $ 3,765 $ 2,616
Investment securities available for sale 986 7,684
Accounts receivable, net of allowance 13,065 4,604
Notes and other receivables 150 699
Prepaid and other current assets 1,491 917
Deferred income taxes - 550
-------- --------
Total current assets 19,457 17,070

Investment securities available for sale - 993

Equipment and furniture, net 1,473 824

Investment in product development, net 2,609 1,255

Other assets 1,075 62
-------- --------
Total assets $ 24,614 $ 20,204
======== ========

Current Liabilities
Advance billings $ 445 $ 990
Accounts payable 664 677
Accrued compensation and related 1,027 519
Accrued commissions 512 434
Other accrued liabilities 647 243
Deferred income taxes 1,050 -
-------- --------
Total current liabilities 4,345 2,863
-------- --------

Stockholders' Equity
Common stock and paid in capital, $.001 par
value; 20,000 shares authorized; 11,979 and
11,374 outstanding 21,392 18,031
Treasury stock, at cost (2,971) (83)
Retained earnings (deficit) 1,848 (607)
-------- --------

Total stockholders' equity 20,269 17,341
-------- --------



To: Roger A. Babb who wrote (7047)11/15/1997 5:49:00 PM
From: Dan Ross  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9285
 
I just thought of something....a little bit late I'm afraid though.....if the U.S. kicks Saddam's butt, oil prices will surge. They have already gone up over $1 this week alone.....Being in Houston, I here about oil and gas all the time......

Anyways....the airline stocks get their rears kicked everytime there is a surge in oil prices as their biggest variable cost is fuel prices. Some have estimated that oil could surge up to $25 a barrel if Iraq messes with the U.S......

Why not short the airlines ??? AMR has a high P/E relative to Delta (9 vs 6). These are just multiples....I know....they are pretty much worthless but some insight....

As for AOL, I can't believe I didn't go with my gut feel Roger...I would have netted over 20 points!!!!! CRAP!!! Oh well, I will let the stock run up to 79 again and then short it.....

If anyone wants a copy of an option calculator in Win '95, let me know....there is already data in it though from my Chrysler project.....I don't have time to evaluate the warrants....the basic part of the convertible bonds is that the stock has become less risky now to the shareholders as they can pay their expenses.......Whoever gave them a loan was crazy....those options will be worthless....

Dan Ross