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To: Dennis Roth who wrote (150515)5/6/2011 10:14:56 AM
From: Dennis Roth2 Recommendations  Respond to of 206084
 
MLP Volatility: Tax Reform or Energy Exposure?
Upgrading OKS to Buy and Resuming Coverage of APL with Buy
6 May 2011 ¦ 26 pages
citigroupgeo.com

MLP Volatility — Since the end of last week MLPs have underperformed the broader
market by 500 basis points. For an explanation some investors have pointed to a tax
reform proposal that could impact pass-through entities such as MLPs. Alternatively,
we do not think this is the primary driving factor behind recent weakness. In our
opinion, a broad sweeping corporate tax bill that would threaten pass-through entities
does not have a very good chance of making it through the existing House of
Representatives with a Republican majority and getting passed into law by the current
Administration. Therefore, a market reaction that has been as broad and sustained as
what has occurred over the last week is most likely related to the overall sell-off and
weakness in the energy sector at a time when MLP trading technicals are also weak.
See Section: MLP Tax Reform Section, Probably Not a Good Idea on page 4...

...Since the end of last week, MLPs have underperformed the broader market by 500 basis points.
For an explanation some investors have pointed to a tax reform proposal that could impact
pass-through entities such as MLPs. Alternatively, we do not think this is the primary driving
factor behind recent weakness. In our opinion, a broad sweeping corporate tax bill that would
threaten pass-through entities does not have a very good chance of making it through the
existing House of Representatives with a Republican majority and getting passed into law by
the current Administration. Therefore, a market reaction that has been as broad and sustained
as what has occurred over the last week is most likely related to the overall sell-off and
weakness in the energy sector at a time when MLP trading technicals are also weak.

Taking this into consideration we see the recent weakness in the sector as an enhanced
opportunity to buy MLPs with strong underlying fundamentals and multiple years of growth
opportunities at more attractive valuations. As we have said in previous reports, we continue
to have positive view of owners/operators of midstream assets with a particular focus on NGL
assets and liquid rich resource basins. Taking this into consideration we are upgrading
ONEOK Partners LP (OKS) to a Buy/Medium Risk (1M) rating from Hold (2M) and resuming
coverage of Atlas Pipeline Partners LP (APL) with a Buy/High Risk (1H) rating. To review our
outlook on the NGL sector please review the following note: Favor MLPs with Integrated
NGL Assets, Strong 1Q Appears Sustainable