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Politics : Rat's Nest - Chronicles of Collapse -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Wharf Rat who wrote (12113)5/9/2011 10:19:29 AM
From: Wharf Rat  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 24232
 
Peak Oil And The WikiLeaks Story That Got Away
11:44 am

May 8, 2011
by Adam Frank

On Thursday Ursula put up a short sharp post with a graphic that said it all. The petroleum party we have been enjoying for the last century has to end. And end it will, most likely sooner rather than later.

To further the discussion along I want to raise the specter of a WikiLeaks story that came and went and did not get nearly the discussion I thought it was worth. As TIME magazine put it,

Have Saudis Overstated How Much Oil Is Left?

While the world remains transfixed by the Egyptian revolt, a crisis with equally profound global consequences is quietly brewing elsewhere in the Middle East: WikiLeaks this week released U.S. diplomatic cables suggesting that Saudi Arabia may have vastly overstated its oil reserves — if true, that could dramatically accelerate the arrival of the long-feared "peak oil" moment, when oil production hits its final high before slowly declining, keeping prices rising for the foreseeable future and slowing global economic growth. But not all industry analysts are convinced by the claims in the cables.
The first paragraph sums it all up. For years people have argued that the Saudi's don't reserves in volumes they claimed for their largest oil fields. For just as long "industry analysts" have poo poo-ed the claim. What made the WikiLeaks cable so amazing was to hear the bad news coming from a Saudi. As the TIME story says,

The diplomatic cables from the U.S. embassy in Riyadh between 2007 and 2009 cite a former senior executive of Saudi Arabia's state-run Aramco oil company as revealing to American officials that the country's official estimate of 716 billion barrels of oil reserves is, well, hogwash; the real figure is about 40% lower than that, according to the oil executive, Sadad al-Husseini, a geologist who until 2004 headed Aramco's exploration department — a seemingly impeccable source.
While the story was covered by most major news organizations, it disappeared just as quickly as materialized. What could have begun a serious discussion about the mess we are in vaporized in the face other real and imagined concerns.

It seems like we simply do not have the ability to face this issue. Too bad because sooner rather than later, and in one way or the other, we not going to have a choice.

npr.org



To: Wharf Rat who wrote (12113)5/9/2011 2:04:48 PM
From: T L Comiskey  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 24232
 
re..High End homes...

Floodwaters threaten wealthy Memphis enclave

THE SWELLING MISSISSIPPI IS BREAKING 80-YEAR HIGH-WATER RECORDS

By ADRIAN SAINZ - Associated Press

MEMPHIS, Tenn. ---- Mud Island, which juts into the mighty Mississippi, pays homage to the Big Muddy with an elaborate scale model of the river, a museum about its history, and a paddlewheel steamboat that looks like something straight out of "Huckleberry Finn."
But now Mud Island is getting too much of the Mississippi.
Rising waters practically lapped at the back porches of some of the island's expensive houses Thursday, and homeowners weighed whether to stay or go.
Up and down Ol' Man River, from Illinois to Louisiana, thousands faced the same decision as high water kept on rolling down the Mississippi and its tributaries, threatening to swamp communities over the next week or two. The flooding is already breaking high-water records that have stood since the 1930s.
"I'm going to sleep thinking, 'I hope they don't evacuate the island and we wake up and we're the only ones here,'" said Emily Tabor, a first-year student at the University of Tennessee's College of Pharmacy in Memphis who lives on Mud Island.