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To: slacker711 who wrote (10876)5/12/2011 3:31:52 PM
From: clochard1 Recommendation  Respond to of 16955
 
If the world's population is getting older than we are getting wiser too!



To: slacker711 who wrote (10876)5/12/2011 6:15:23 PM
From: Jacob Snyder1 Recommendation  Respond to of 16955
 
<in the late 1980s, the world’s population was rising by over 88m a year>

It may be, that we are just past the point of max absolute increase in population. That is, we may be just past the inflection point of the (hopefully) S-shaped curve. All these numbers are guesses, with many countries doing very inadequate censuses. The main point remains: absolute numbers are increasing at (or very near) the greatest rate ever in the history of our species.

Declining fertility rates is good news, but I'm afraid it's happening too slowly, too late, and too unevenly to avert a Malthusian crisis in much of the world. The article you posted, said Nigeria's population will be 730M in 2100. At 158M today, even with the advantage of all that oil, they are already within sight of a Malthusian disaster. By 2100, the oil will be gone. Something radical (and probably extremely violent, think Rwanda X10) is going to happen in countries like Nigeria, because there is no way that nation can contain 730M people, even at today's totally inadequate consumption levels. There simply isn't enough soil, water, fertilizer, fuel, etc.