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Politics : Liberalism: Do You Agree We've Had Enough of It? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (104986)5/17/2011 11:04:53 AM
From: tonto3 Recommendations  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 224862
 
That has happened for the first time under Obama...we have a serious problem because of the lack of fiscal controls.

Non-Discretionary Spending Officially Exceeds Revenue

We have now gotten to the point where if national defense, interstate highways, national parks, homeland security, and all other discretionary programs somehow became absolutely free, we’d still have a budget deficit. The White House Office of Management and Budget projects that in the current fiscal year (2011), mandatory spending alone will exceed all federal receipts. So even if we didn’t spend a single cent on discretionary programs, we still wouldn’t be able to balance our budget this year — let alone pay off any of the $14 trillion in debt that we have already accumulated.

Just an Olympiad ago, in 2007, the picture was quite different. In fact, in that year, federal revenues not only exceeded mandatory spending, but they exceeded it by more than $1 trillion ($1.117 trillion, to be more exact). The next year, 2008, during which the gap fell to a still-huge $914 billion, the Bush administration released a report issuing a rather dire warning (p. 25). The report said that, “if left unchanged, mandatory spending alone is projected to exceed total projected Government receipts in approximately 50 years.” That dire prediction has now come true — about 50 years earlier than projected.

Through the years, mandatory spending has steadily increased (with some fluctuation from year to year) in relation to revenues. Here is mandatory spending as a percentage of total federal receipts, by year, according to published White House figures:

1970: roughly 33 percent
2000: 47 percent
2005: 61 percent
2010: 90 percent
2011: 101 percent

The trajectory seems clear. Meanwhile, President Obama has not proposed entitlement reform. He has, however, proposed adding a massive new entitlement: Obamacare. At the same time, the baby boomers’ retirements are looming, which means higher entitlement expenditures and a smaller proportion of the population available to finance them. In light of all of this, what do the Obama administration’s projections for mandatory spending as a percentage of total federal receipts look like, going forward? Here they are:

2012: 81 percent
2013: 73 percent
2014: 7o percent
2015: 69 percent

Seriously?

These estimates are made possible because (among other things) the Obama administration is projecting a 21 percent increase in federal receipts from 2011 to 2012. Never mind that we haven’t seen an increase like that in 40 years. In fact, the largest increase in the past 40 years has been 16 percent.

How is the Obama administration’s track record in forecasting such increases? For 2010, it projected a 9 percent increase in receipts. The actual tally was 3 percent. For 2011, it projected a 19 percent increase in receipts. Just one year later (in this year's budget), it has now modified that projection to less than 1 percent (actually, to 0.5 percent). So that’s a swing from projecting the highest increase in the past 40 years, to projecting essentially no increase at all — in just 12 months.

To tackle our very real fiscal crisis, we need serious numbers and serious leadership, not just blind hope that things will (somehow) change. Now that we are at the point where our total receipts cannot even cover our mandatory spending, entitlement reform would seem to be an obvious necessity. Yet only one house of one branch of the federal government has thus far shown any real signs of being able to see the obvious.



To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (104986)5/17/2011 11:14:28 AM
From: JakeStraw2 Recommendations  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 224862
 
Yes Kenneth, why should the gov't be concerned about how they waste the taxpayers money... I mean you certainly don't seem to be concerned about all the gov't inefficiencies, waste and fiscal irresponsibility.



To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (104986)5/17/2011 11:56:49 AM
From: grusum3 Recommendations  Respond to of 224862
 
Jake, if you eliminated all non defense discretionary spending, the budget would still not be balanced.

spending in EVERY area must be cut. no sacred cows.



To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (104986)5/23/2011 11:37:08 AM
From: TimF1 Recommendation  Respond to of 224862
 
if you eliminated all non defense discretionary spending, the budget would still not be balanced.

1 - Revenue is not fixed. If we reduce spending, or even just keep it under control, the budget will move to balance over time.

2 - "all discretionary, other than interest on the national debt. Social Security is discretionary. We have the discretion to change the law. Same is true with Medicare and Medicaid." - George Will.