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To: stockman_scott who wrote (62)5/23/2011 10:04:28 AM
From: Glenn Petersen1 Recommendation  Respond to of 272
 
On Tuesday, restrictions on short selling the stock will be lifted.

ft.com



To: stockman_scott who wrote (62)5/30/2011 8:51:25 AM
From: Glenn Petersen1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 272
 
China will be a tough nut to crack:

China's LinkedIn plots local recipe for growth

Mon May 30, 2011 6:57am EDT
By Melanie Lee

SHANGHAI (Reuters) - In a country where being connected is seen as crucial, Ushi, China's answer to LinkedIn, expects explosive growth over the next few years in the world's largest Internet market.

The professional-social networking site plans to have 10 million users in two years from the current 300,000, and aims to raise $5 million by the end of June, Dominic Penaloza, Ushi's chief executive, told Reuters in an interview on Monday.

"We're aiming to ultimately serve a very large portion of China's 40 million Internet users who are white collar or entrepreneurs. Call it 10 million in two years," said Penaloza.

"There's more proportion of Chinese who will only do business with people they have met before and people who have a mutual friend," said the Filipino-Chinese who grew up in Canada.

Venture capitalists and private equity funds have flocked to Chinese Internet firms, with U.S. IPOs of companies such as Youku and Dangdang surging as they market themselves as the YouTube and Amazon of China.

The growth is being fueled by China's Internet industry which has more than 450 million users.

Ushi, which launched in October, is backed by Milestone Capital, U.S.-based Richmond Management, Li & Fung private equity and Simon Murray & Co.

The firm competes with Tianji.com, another social-networking site that caters to professionals. Tianji, which was founded in 2005, is now part of France's Viadeo.

Tianji aims to have 10 million users by the end of the year and to start monetizing the website this year, its founder Derek Ling told Reuters separately.

The user base of Ushi, which means "outstanding professionals" in Chinese, doubled to 300,000 from 160,000 in about 60 days in March and April, Penaloza said.

Professional social-networking-site LinkedIn has a small presence in China and is one of the few foreign social-networking-sites to still have access to Chinese Internet users. Twitter and Facebook are blocked in China over censorship concerns.

LinkedIn shares more than doubled in their public trading debut this month, evoking memories of investors' love affair with Internet stocks during the dot-com boom of the late 1990s.

Like LinkedIn, Ushi's website (www.ushi.cn) has features that allow users to add connections and send messages but it is currently in a by-invitation phase. Penaloza said the firm plans to open the website to the public by the end of the year. Ushi is already monetizing users through the presence of Ushi coins which can be bought with real money.

Ushi's key difference from LinkedIn is that it focuses on offline events as Chinese people greatly value face-to-face meetings and are generally hesitant to do business with people they do not know.

"If you ask them to pay $25 equivalent in Reminbi for a three-hour networking party they would not hesitate to pay, they would line up to pay. Chinese people are like that in general," Penaloza said.

Ushi is banking on the value of "guanxi," which means connections in Mandarin, in doing business in China to make money. The firm charges Ushi coins for introductions outside your immediate circle.

The Shangai-based firm raised 10 million yuan ($1.54 million) in its initial round of fundraising.

About 5 percent of Ushi's current users are chief executives.

Last week, LinkedIn told reporters in Beijing it will seek opportunities in China to capitalize on its massive user base even though it sees the market as complicated.

Being called the LinkedIn of China has its benefits as it offers the general public a quick reference to the type of services the firm offers, Penaloza said.

"It's kind of like LinkedIn and inspired by LinkedIn but it is not the same. Ushi will work better for Chinese people because it is made in China, made by Chinese, made for Chinese and that's a huge difference," said Penaloza.

($1 = 6.493 yuan)

(Editing by Anshuman Daga and Jacqueline Wong)

ca.reuters.com



To: stockman_scott who wrote (62)5/31/2011 5:25:23 PM
From: Glenn Petersen1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 272
 
Anyone Who Still Thinks LinkedIn's IPO Pop Was Good Should Look At Amazon

By Henry Blodget
Business Insider
May 31, 2011, 11:19 AM

Two weeks ago, Wall Street drastically underpriced LinkedIn's IPO, costing the company and its selling shareholders about $200 million in lost proceeds.

In the wake of this, many in Silicon Valley and elsewhere, including LinkedIn investor Peter Thiel, have begun to observe that IPO "pops"--a huge jump in the price of the stock on the first day of trading--are bad, not good. This is a very healthy development.

A big IPO pop means that the company going public has given a huge, unwarranted gift to institutional money managers--and that gift has come right out of the pockets of the company and its selling shareholders. The company has also walked away from the IPO with much less money than it should have. And it has done this for vague and meaningless "benefits" that make Wall Street's life easier (and bank account richer), but that don't actually provide any value to the company.

After the LinkedIn deal, Wall Street rushed to defend the pop, arguing that LinkedIn's IPO had been a "pricing event, not a fundraising event" and that the huge pop would make future capital raising easier.

Both these arguments are bogus and self-serving (and well-practiced), but some observers still found them persuasive.

In the case of LinkedIn, the mispricing of the IPO cost the company and its selling shareholders real money--about $200 million, assuming the stock should have been priced around $60 instead of $45. And the company should not be grateful that its bankers just "got a deal done." Any underwriter could have gotten this deal done, just as any real-estate agent can sell a house in a hot market. Wall Street will make tens of millions of dollars off the LinkedIn deal, and it is reasonable for the company to demand more from its bankers than just getting a deal done.

Anyone who still doesn't believe this--who believes that Wall Street's institutional money managers need to get a huge gift or they'll never own the stock again, or that the stock will fall below the IPO and "taint" the company--should recall the IPO of Amazon.com.

After Amazon's IPO, the stock fell, breaking the IPO price. Then it took off.

Back in May, 1997, when Amazon went public, CEO Jeff Bezos recognized that the stock the company was selling on the IPO might be worth a great deal more someday. As a result, he refused to sell it at a huge discount.

As the company's IPO "roadshow" progressed and the order book filled, the company raised the price of the offering from $12-$14 to $16. And then it priced the IPO above the intended pricing range, at $18.

On the first day of trading, the stock closed up: The IPO had priced at $18, opened near $30, and then closed at $23.50 (a modest pop).

But then, horrors! The stock immediately began to fall and then then fell below the IPO price!

In the weeks after the IPO, Amazon's stock traded all the way down to $16. The cognoscenti of the day announced that Bezos had blown it: He had priced Amazon's IPO too high, screwing the investors who had bought it. Now, those investors were underwater. They would never again buy Amazon's stock. Amazon would forever be "tainted." It was a "broken IPO."

So Amazon really blew it on its IPO, right? By taking almost every last nickel off the table, it screwed itself? It crippled its access to the capital markets? It destroyed its reputation in the press? It made investors so gun-shy that they would never buy Amazon's deals again?

Please.

Another month later, after Amazon reported an amazing second quarter, Amazon's stock took off. And it never looked back.

If Amazon had sold its stock at a 50% discount to the fair-market trading price (just north of the IPO price), the way LinkedIn did, it would have given up an astounding amount of value. The 3 million shares Amazon sold on the deal are equivalent to 36 million today. Those 36 million shares are now worth ~$7 billion. If Amazon had sold those shares at half-price, instead of full-price, it would have given up the equivalent of $3.5 billion of future value.

Just as important, it would have raised less cash on the IPO--at a time when every dollar was precious. Amazon ended up raising about $55 million on the IPO. If it had priced the stock at, say, $9, it would only have raised $25 million (or it would have sold more of the company).

Needless to say, Amazon went on to raise tons more money in additional deals after the IPO--several with the same institutional investors who got "screwed" on the IPO. Its reputation suffered barely a scratch, and memories of the brief period of the "broken IPO" were quickly forgotten.

Amazon's IPO also, by the way, provided a sharp rebuke to those arguing that LinkedIn's ~$90 stock price is just a function of a "small float." Amazon had a "small float," too, and still the stock dropped (and then took off). And if it were so obvious that LinkedIn's stock price were just a function of the "small float" and about to crash, the investors who own it would immediately sell it, thus driving the price down.

(LinkedIn's stock may well crash--the price is extreme--but this won't have anything to do with the "small float.")

Wall Street's job in an IPO is to balance the competing needs and desires of corporate and investor clients. Every dollar that goes into the pocket of investor clients comes right out of the pocket of corporate clients, and vice versa. Wall Street's job is to balance these competing interests fairly, by getting the IPO issuer the best price the market will bear while also providing a small (15%) discount to investor clients to incent them to place orders and take a chance on the deal.

A 15% overnight windfall just for placing an order is a huge enough gift--it's absurd to think that investors deserve any more than that.

Smart managers and investors should act like Jeff Bezos. They should hold their bankers' feet to the fire, and demand that their IPOs be priced fairly. Because every dollar of "pop" over the 15% IPO discount is an unnecessary, unwarranted, and undeserved gift from a company and its existing investors to Wall Street's big institutional clients. And that "pop" will likely end up costing companies vastly more than any IPO fees.

businessinsider.com



To: stockman_scott who wrote (62)3/17/2012 5:54:23 PM
From: Glenn Petersen1 Recommendation  Respond to of 272
 
Reid Hoffman, Mr LinkedIn

By Richard Waters
Financial Times Magazine
March 17, 2012 1:42 am

Reid Hoffman, the co-founder of LinkedIn, on why the future belongs to the networkers

Reid Hoffman hates cocktail parties. Coming from the man whom The New York Times recently dubbed Silicon Valley’s King of Connections, this might come as a surprise. After all, Hoffman has built a brand – and a fortune worth $1.8bn – on his role as a leading exponent of the art of social networking. But that doesn’t mean he has to fit the image of the arch schmoozer.

“I’m a little unusual: I’m a six-person-or-less extrovert,” he says, using a characteristically precise, slightly tortuous formulation. Then, slipping into the language of the Silicon Valley technocrat, he adds: “I strongly optimise for less than six people, preferably one-on-one.”

It is a recent morning at LinkedIn, the online professional networking site that he founded and took public last year, and Hoffman is working to his relentless schedule. The day is carved up for meetings that run from 8am till 9pm. From 15-minute to two-hour blocks, he and his assistant carefully subdivide his attention.

The shorter interludes are there to grease the wheels of Hoffman’s personal network. He is connected to 2,600 people on LinkedIn, which he founded in 2002. He remains chairman, though he doubles up as a partner at venture capital firm Greylock and sits on three other boards. He has also become a guide and adviser to a new generation of 20-somethings in the internet world.

How to refer to all his online connections is not easy. They are not “friends”, though that is one word he tries out. In the end, he settles on “alliances” – people who might do something for him, or who he is prepared to help out.
“Referential information is hugely beneficial,” he says. “I almost never take a meeting without a reference, even a phone call.” Then, slipping back into technocrat-speak: “The reference gives me good signal-to-noise ratio” – a way to filter out the significant from the time-wasting. He boasts about how he has just given a reference for a former colleague he hasn’t even spoken to in 10 years.

Such gestures are the currency of the world Hoffman inhabits. In Silicon Valley, where investors and entrepreneurs come together in loose alliances around the latest hot start-up ideas, being connected is everything. Hoffman himself is part of a group widely known as the PayPal Mafia, for the fact that its members all held senior positions at the online payment company before spinning off into an array of new internet concerns.

Close contacts like these are supplemented by an array of looser ties, distant connections to all sorts of acquaintances who fit into the wide orbit of Hoffman’s professional world. Passing on contacts, giving references, offering crumbs of advice and information are all part of the currency of the world he inhabits.
____________________

0LinkedIn in numbers 2 per second: The rate at which the site is gaining new members (as of December 31 011)

LinkedIn has more than 150 million members

8 million-plus members in the UK

More than 2 million companies have Company Pages on the site

LinkedIn is ranked by Alexa as the 12th most popular site on the internet

LinkedIn is ranked by Google as the 29th most visited site on the web

LinkedIn’s 2011 revenues totalled $522m, a 115 per cent increase from 2010
____________________

“We bi-directionally help each other, even if only to a light degree,” he says. Soon, he argues, this will be the world that all professionals will have to master. Only the truly connected will survive.
. . .

Hoffman, at 44, does not fit the usual image of the fast-talking young techno-nerd familiar from The Social Network – the film about Facebook’s Mark Zuckerberg. By comparison, the LinkedIn founder seems bulky and mild. Even by the loose dress code of Northern California, his dark trousers, maroon shirt and blue and yellow sneakers look carelessly off-hand. His deliberative, careful formulations are not the sort of expansive utterances you normally hear from internet visionaries out to change the world – people such as Peter Thiel, a close friend from college days and an early backer of Facebook.

“Entrepreneurs are like visionaries,” Hoffman says, talking about the breed as though he was not one of them. “One of the ways they run forward is by viewing the thing they’re doing as something that’s going to be the whole world.”

Right now, Silicon Valley is in the grip of social media mania. Thanks to the impending stock market listing of Facebook, widely expected to value the company at as much as $100bn, all new start-ups are built to thrive on a socially connected internet. Zuckerberg, suggests Hoffman, is a classic of the visionary entrepreneurial breed.

“‘Everything’s social,’” he says, parodying the Facebook founder and the many entrepreneurs who now live in his shadow. “‘Going to the restroom is social.’ No, I don’t think so.” There is much more to come from the Facebook generation, he says, though he adds that to claim that “‘everything’s going to be social’ is simply a little silly”.

Get Hoffman on to his own favourite topic, though, and he can hold forth with the best of them. As traditional jobs become less secure, he says, everyone’s working life will increasingly revolve around the sort of alliances of interest that underpin the tech industry in Northern California.

“The way that we operate here in Silicon Valley is the way the trend needs to go broadly: all industries, all locations,” he says, as though none of the traditional institutions of business life will survive. Talking about the open business networks that thrive in the region, he adds: “Silicon Valley is a mindset, not a location. That’s part of what modern work for all industries is going to be like.”

In this new business world, the people who operate the most effective personal networks will be the ones who come out on top. Hoffman holds his own networks up as a model. In The Start-up of You, a book he has co-written that dwells heavily on the art of networking, he relates personal stories of how his alliances have contributed to the huge wealth being amassed by Silicon Valley’s elite: how, for instance, he introduced Thiel to Zuckerberg when the Facebook founder was first looking for backing, leading his friend to take a stake in Facebook that is expected to be worth more than $2bn when the company goes public.

Don’t anecdotes like this suggest that the networks of the powerful benefit a privileged few, and that only those smart or lucky enough to be an insider can reap the big rewards? Hoffman counters that this is the wrong conclusion to draw. All personal networks can be beneficial on their own terms, he says, even if they can’t draw on the sort of resources that are at his fingertips.

Hoffman once dreamed of being a public intellectual – someone who could influence the direction of humanity by thinking deep thoughts and joining the public battle of ideas. That ambition took him to Oxford university, as a Marshall scholar, in the 1990s to study philosophy. However, the narrowness of academic life eventually put paid to those thoughts.

In their place, the online world has become a giant Petri dish for his sociological interests. In the internet and software businesses, new ideas and ways of behaving take shape with remarkable alacrity. The internet acts like a lever, turning social experiments into vast online communities.

Hoffman’s academic leanings are apparent as he conjures up an intellectual framework for the sort of networking that underpins companies such as LinkedIn and Facebook. He lassoes the work of a series of social scientists to explain and magnify the influence he claims for these new forums.

One is Mark Granovetter, a sociologist who demonstrated the importance of “weak ties” – loose connections with people on the fringes of daily working and personal life. By giving access to new networks beyond the familiar, these contacts open up many new opportunities that otherwise would never be encountered. Most professionals looking for new jobs, according to Granovetter’s research, find them through weak ties such as these.

Robin Dunbar, an evolutionary psychologist, has also been drawn into Hoffman’s cosmology. His contribution was to estimate the maximum number of relationships that people are capable of maintaining at any one time, given the size of the human neocortex. The result, known as Dunbar’s Number: 150.

While Hoffman says he thinks that is a fair estimate of the number of active relationships, he also believes that it underestimates the much bigger circle of looser connections that the well-organised, internet-connected person can now sustain. He once limited his own online network to people he had worked with directly, but these days he includes anyone for whom he would be willing to provide a personal introduction.

The third strand that Hoffman weaves into his intellectual web is based on the “six degrees of separation” – the idea that all of humanity is connected in a giant personal network. This is based on the work of Stanley Milgram and, subsequently, Duncan Watts, who both uncovered surprisingly close, indirect connections between people from completely different backgrounds and parts of the world.

Pursue the logic of the “friends of friends” networks far enough, and who knows what useful contacts you might uncover.

In the professional world, argues Hoffman, it is three degrees of separation that really count: who is in your direct network, who those people know, and who those people, in turn, are connected to. By asking for personal references, it is possible to draw on these wider circles and know that all of the intermediaries will always know at least one of the people at the end of the chain. The mistake many professionals make, he says, is to fail to ask often enough for personal introductions like this, but to rely instead on cold calls. LinkedIn was founded on the belief that plumbing the networks for connections is the best way to find a new job, make contact with people who could further your ambitions, or disseminate useful business intelligence.

But in practice, it has come to be known mainly as a place for job-hunters and recruiters. The site makes half its money from recruiters, who pay to research and contact potential hires, with the rest coming from advertising and members who pay for premium services. Equally, the most frequent experience many of its 150 million members have of the network comes from the unsolicited invitations they get from people looking to connect, usually to further their own business interests. It can feel very much like the sort of cold-calling behaviour that Hoffman disparages so much.

“Some people use it that way,” he reluctantly admits. He says he has capped his company’s growth rather than let the contact-spamming run amok, for instance by requiring users to know other members’ email addresses before sending them invitations to connect. Yet there are loopholes: it is easy, for instance, to send out invitations simply by claiming to have done business with another member before. Like all online networks, LinkedIn relies on the willingness of members to follow its chosen social norms in order to thrive.

. . .

Despite his claim to being an extrovert on a small scale, Hoffman confesses to symptoms that, by his own admission, are the signs of a classic introvert. “I get energy from one-on-one conversations most often, and I lose energy from group conversations most often,” he says.

As a child, he dipped into different social cliques for his friendships, preferring close relationships with a handful of people to the sort of group behaviour that normally characterises school life. “It wasn’t that I was a loner,” he insists.

The group-hopping made him adept at adjusting his behaviour to the person at hand. That strong personal empathy remains his most obvious trait, and may account for the likeability on which people who know him often comment – a rare commodity in an industry where towering egos often prevail.

Considerateness is also one of the keys to the type of personal networking that Hoffman believes will change working life. Like friendships, these relationships are based on mutual generosity. He contrasts that with the sort of image normally conjured up by the phrase “business networking” – what he calls the “sleazy” pursuit of self-interest. Explaining why many people shy away from trying to nurture a personal network of their own, he says: “Thinking about it makes it feel like they are treating people as objects.”

Ultimately, fired by mutual respect and self-interest, Hoffman dreams of an interplay of ideas that will sustain a new type of working life. “I want to have this semantically important sharing,” he says, contrasting it with the deluge of personal minutiae unleashed on Facebook and Twitter.

It may all sound like the sort of idealism that internet billionaires regularly spout. But if LinkedIn does eventually succeed in bringing more meaning to its members’ working lives, Hoffman will have the satisfaction of knowing that his ideas have prevailed.

‘The Start-up of You’, by Reid Hoffman and Ben Casnocha, is published by Random House, £12.99. Richard Waters is the FT’s West Coast managing editor.

Copyright The Financial Times Limited 2012

ft.com