To: Mark Adams who wrote (1576 ) 11/16/1997 5:17:00 PM From: Mark Oliver Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9256
An interesting table was provided to attendees of AEA attendees by Ultratech. Doesn't imply the growth of head demand that I would have expected. Any thoughts? Merchant/Captive (Units 100) Head Type.....1995.....1996.....1997......1998.....1999 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Thin Film Inductive Merchant.....141,903.8......212,048.0......216,524.0......238,619.0......112,127.2 Captive.....142,898.1.....190,437.2.....145,721.0.....126.216.0.....115,530.0 Total........248,801.9.....402,485.2.....357,245.0.....264,835.0.....227,657.2 ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Thin Film (MR) Merchant...... 8,255.0..... 60,036.0......131,058.0...... 307,577.2...... 365,292.0 Captive .......48,645.0..... 110,000.0..... 333,432.0..... 473,687.8..... 472,300.0 Total.......... 56,900.0....... 170,036.0....... 464,490.0.......781,265.0..... 837,592.0 ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Thin Film (Giant MR) Merchant -- -- -- -- -- Captive .... -- ....... --...... 10.0 ....... 125.0 ....... 10,200.0 Total ........ -- ........ -- ......... 10.0 ....... 125.0 ....... 10,200.0 ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Total Head Demand ........ 341,701.9........ 572,521.2 ....... 821,745.0....... 1,046,225.0....... 1,075,449.2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Source: Ultratech and Peripheral Research Corporation 4/97 1997 Thin Film Production Schedule Units in Millions Manufacturer...... Merchant......Captive ......Totals...... MR Estimate ---------------------------------------------------------------- Applied Magnetics ...... 44.2 ...... 0 ..... 44.2 ...... 17.6 ALPS .............. 8.7 ....... 0 .......... 8.7......... 8.7 Digital Quantum ..... 0.9 ...... 48.2 ..... 49.1 ...... 37.8 FDK Fujitsu ....... 4.7...... 2.8...... 7.5 ....... 7.5 IBM ............... 4.7....... 109.7 ...... 114.4 ...... 114.4 Headway ............. 5.4........ 0 ........ 5.4 ...... 5.4 Read-Rite Corp. ...... 134.5....... 0 ..... 134.5 ...... 37.0 Read-Rite/SMI ........ 42.0 ..... 0 ....... 42.0 ......25.0 Seagate Tech/Head....... 18.4...... 327.5 ..... 345.9...... 194.0 TDK/SAE ...... 105.0 ...... 0 ...... 105.0 ...... 39.0 Yamaha Co. Ltd. ...... 96.0 ...... 0 ...... 96.0 ...... 37.0 Others (Hitachi/NEC) ...... 4.6 ...... 0 ...... 4.6 ...... 1.2 ------------------------------------------------------------------ Totals ...... 469.1 ...... 488.2 ...... 957.3 ...... 515.9 ------------------------------------------------------------------ Source: Ultratech and Peripheral Research Corporation 4/97