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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: combjelly who wrote (614306)	6/6/2011 10:46:11 PM
From: TimF	Respond to of 1583982

I'm not neglecting any problem, infrastructure was for the most part not getting worse, food production per person was increasing even before the green revolution. Local failures in production or infrastructure could lead to famine, even potentially large famines, but not to a world wide famine, or to famines as large as Ehrlich claimed where not just possible, or even likely, but certain, and in just a few years; so infrastructure isn't really relevant to his claim. It could be relevant to lesser claims, but not to a claim of famine on the scale, and quickness that he predicted. There are all sorts of ways things could have failed to improved the way they actually did, there are all sorts of ways they could even have gotten worse, but absent something like a truly mass scale disaster (not something like the tsunami that hit Japan, more on the scale of a significant celestial impact, Yellowstone erupting, nuclear war, or at least a conventional WWIII, or some crop plague or plagues that had an unusually massive effect on food crops, wiping out the production of nations on a scale that I can't think of any real world examples for major crops, his predictions wouldn't have come true. It was remotely possible that we could have such a massive famine, but it would have required some extraordinary event or events, of which there was little evidence at the time he made his prediction. Making a prediction for something that's very unlikely, and calling it certain, goes well beyond not qualifying your statement enough