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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: carranza2 who wrote (75884)7/2/2011 4:05:10 PM
From: 2MAR$  Read Replies (5) | Respond to of 217844
 
It is as if the following have already taken place or are sure things;
1. Eurozone fixed;
2. Debt ceiling fixed;
3. Medicare and Social Security fixed;
4. Manufacturing is back;
5. Oil is in the 40s;
6. Unemployment is at 5%;
7. Housing is back;
8. Out of control military spending has been curtailed;


Our market is still the best little Casino in town ....end of QE2 has knocked down the comodities especially corn & grains suffered big drops last 2wks and they're off on another earnings run like last Qtr where Consumers still showed signs of holding up regardless of sentiment numbers , though still weak in some sectors no matter , there's many others they can bid up . Less risk percieved with Greeks cowtowing and they know there will be a last minute settlement upcoming on the debt cieling . Also winding down the wars in Affy & resolution perhaps around the corner for Libya .
( let Kadaffi have his swiss or french chalet & live out his days)

Japan will get rebuilt bringing lots of new orders in for materials and services , China has cooled her inflation lessening some demand on Oil , or percieved as that and the Fed showed they can still ply a QE3 with releases oil reserve & cooperation of the Saudis .Have more research to do this week but anticipated this rally going into the 4th, its the same bull run pulled last earnings season & stocks had got very cheap on the pullback .....and a little thing that happens at the end of a month right before earnings begins called---> "Window Dressing" motivated by "Bonuses" !! ;o)

One would think that Defense be one area that would be peaking right now , with winding down opps in Affy etc, though this year will be another record year for Int'l sales of arms defense related toys & services . Many companies have diversified themselves well Int'l in the emerging markets and have enjoyed all the benefits of QE2 & the weak dollar and the surge in those markets ....like CAT DD FCX & JOYG etc .

Defense sector looking splendid and just tippy top in here right now, look at it go...but ? <g






To: carranza2 who wrote (75884)7/2/2011 7:45:36 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217844
 
<<I truly do not understand DJIA and S&P bullishness>>

... as paper monies die at different rates, equities in various domains would rise

the same energy impelling precious metals is generating force to compel equities



To: carranza2 who wrote (75884)7/3/2011 1:21:42 AM
From: Hawkmoon  Respond to of 217844
 
MZM might be at an all time high, but what is the "velocity" factor that contributes to GDP?

I understand that it is still declining. When it declines, money supply must be increased to maintain GDP equilibrium (according to the theory). Not saying increasing money supply is right, but it's the theory that seems is being applied here:

confoundedinterest.wordpress.com

businessinsider.com

"In simplistic terms, Bernanke’s hope is that if money is both cheap and accessible, velocity will eventually increase, thereby spurring growth. The short-term downside of his policy is that bond rates are staying at historically low levels. The long-term danger is that inflation will jump, forcing the Federal Reserve to hike up interest rates."

Again, maybe increasing money supply is not the right thing to do, but it's the tool they are using to avoid a crushing depression. Personally, I think popping commodity bubbles is the better manner of economic "stimulus" as it reduces costs of production and have actual and immediate economic impacts than providing easy money to banks that are hesitant to lend. They certainly impact the consumer directly.

Hawk



To: carranza2 who wrote (75884)7/3/2011 9:06:56 AM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217844
 
Mining Truck Tires Pricier Than Porsches, Miami Condominiums. Prices for tires about 3.5 meters (11 feet) across, used on the Caterpillar Inc. trucks that haul iron ore and coal, have touched $100,000 on the spot market, according to Leighton Holdings Ltd. (LEI), a contractor for mining companies including BHP Billiton Ltd. (BHP) and Anglo American Ltd. Prices rose as high as $150,000 in 2008.

Mining Truck Tires Pricier Than Porsches, Miami Condominiums.

China’s insatiable demand for commodities has prompted a tripling in the price of mining truck tires, making them more expensive than a Porsche 911 Carrera S type or a condominium in Miami.

Prices for tires about 3.5 meters (11 feet) across, used on the Caterpillar Inc. trucks that haul iron ore and coal, have touched $100,000 on the spot market, according to Leighton Holdings Ltd. (LEI), a contractor for mining companies including BHP Billiton Ltd. (BHP) and Anglo American Ltd. Prices rose as high as $150,000 in 2008.

That compares with contract prices of about $30,000, according to Roesler Tyre Innovators GmbH, which retreads so- called off-the-road tires. Demand from China, the world’s biggest metals buyer, drove copper, iron ore, gold and coal to records this year, forcing companies to compete for the equipment and labor needed to mine them.

“We fear the situation will become as tight as in 2007,” Paul Roesler, managing partner of Dortmund-based Tyre Innovators, said by phone from the company’s Perth office, citing Michelin & Cie and Bridgestone Corp. as major suppliers. “We see tight tire supply and high prices become a challenge for mining companies again but we think that the large players have prepared for this and have better contracts with suppliers and have improved stock.”

‘Just Exploding’
Demand for mining tires is “just exploding,” according to Titan International Inc. (TWI) Manufacturers are reporting full order books for off-the-road tires for the next 18 months and alerting customers to the risk of shortages this year, according to Global Markets Perspectives Ltd.

“Where we need to expand rapidly or where we have a new project, then we have to source tires on the spot market like everyone else,” said Christian Sealey, a spokesman at Sydney- based Leighton, Australia’s biggest builder, in a telephone interview. “In those situations we’re finding some inflation.”

The last time tire prices surged was during the mining boom before the global financial crisis. Barrick Gold Corp. (ABX), the world’s largest gold producer, said in January 2008 that it paid as much as $60,000 a tire for its largest vehicles, while some sold for as much as $300,000 in Internet auctions. The tire drought left companies such as De Beers, the world’s biggest diamond producer, unable at times to use new trucks.

The Porsche 911, including tires, costs $91,450, the carmaker says on its U.S. web site, while the median price in the first quarter of a previously owned condo in Miami-Fort Lauderdale was $79,200, according to the National Association of Realtors.

Market Tightening
“There seems to be a tightening of the market,” Lyndon Fagan, an analyst at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc, said by phone Sydney. “There are comments there’ll be a wait for tires.”

In Australia, the world’s biggest exporter of iron ore, coal and alumina, there are a record A$174 billion ($183 billion) of minerals and energy projects at an advanced stage of development, according to government forecasts last month. Rio Tinto Group, the No. 2 exporter of iron ore, is planning a $14.8 billion expansion to double output in Western Australia’s Pilbara region to 333 million metric tons by 2015.

Rio is prepared, said Gervase Greene, a Perth-based spokesman for the company. “We have appropriate arrangements with long-term suppliers to ensure that these price movements don’t affect us.”

The price of tires used in Australia by Newmont Mining Ltd., partner in the nation’s biggest open-cut gold mine, increased 4 percent this year, though this was offset by a stronger local currency, said Brian Watt, a company spokesman.

“Smaller players and mining contractors will find it difficult to meet their demand because they don’t tend to have longstanding supply contracts,” said Tyre Innovators’ Roesler.