To: Tomato who wrote (4042 ) 11/17/1997 7:28:00 PM From: George J. Tromp Respond to of 26850
Hi Tomato: Much can be said on valuation of exploration properties. Most of the time properties in area plays are valued according to the activity of their neighbors and sometimes not., it really depends on the size of the program., dollars allocated as well as the markets acceptance of whether a viable chance exists for a noteworthy discovery. As in most diamond exploration programs the property as in Winspear., Gerle., Aber., Suf., and others who are serious explorers will be drilled and sampled over several years time. The market recognizes these projects as viable long term plays. Gerle is trading around .50C with no money to speak of but the tie in with Debeers to fund exploration to production. As evidenced with MPV and Aber pipes will be found that may have been overlooked. In Abers case exploration was mostly financed thru results., offering stock at higher and higher prices. Winspear without having talked to them., theyre burn rate on a $5,OOO,OOO exp;loration program would be around $3,000,OOO out of their coffers.., the rest financed by Aber. I would estimate around 600,000 to bulk sample the dyke area. The remainder would probably be used for drilling and geophysics., and a contingency budget. I would suspect a portion of that 3Mil will be set aside for definition drilling if and when kimberlite is intersected in the lake. So I estimate and this is only a guess that Winspear should have around 6.0 mil in the treasury after completion of the spring program which would cover drilling up to mini-bulk sampling in the lake area. The market will not ascribe much to the Russian properties because of political risk. The Botswanna property could progress., but I dont see it happening anytime soon. The Rocher property just to the North is 100% and could develop because of its proximitry to Snap Lake. Time will tell. A lot of what Winspear will be trading at in Dec 98 will be determined by the upcoming program IMO. It is too tough to make those protracted estimates. Snap Lake is the driving force of Winspear., and will be the one area in the immediate future to bring them forward. The current price offers a great risk reward ratio., for speculation., and in all likelihood has formed a base in the .70C range. Looking at the action of late and the movement of insiders., it is now under accumulation for the next run. Just my opinion. George