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Gold/Mining/Energy : A Deadcat Bounce -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ed Pakstas who wrote (54)11/18/1997 12:24:00 AM
From: Tommy D  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 97
 
I just checked the Nikei and it is still up significantly. I agree with
you that the rise is almost too good to be true(over 10%) in 2 days and
this is no small market(like the Hong Kong market). The report on CNN
tonight sugested that the increase was artificial and implied that the
Japanes government in some way propped up the market as they could not let the
index drop below 15000 or it would have significant implications for the
Japanese Banks. Hopefully, the market is reflecting a beleive that the
Japanese Government will deal with the domestic banking situation. I don't
know if that means some sort of bail out but probably will.

It's ironic that in some respects the Banking crisis in Japan is not
unlike what occurred in the U.S. in the late 80's. Probably, few people
rememeber when banks like Chase or Citibank were in the low teens and the
thrift and loan industry was in shambles. Although the method of accounting
in the U.S. is and was much different, there was a fundamental problem with
the loans on the books which took a long time to work its way through the system.
Fixing the banking system is key to Japan and key to fixing many of
the Asian country's economies. This in turn will significantly help resources
including gold. I am not sure that economic turmoil in Asia will help
the price of gold as if these economies tank, that would lead to deflation
rather than inflation. We need sustained growth and with it resulting
price pressures.

Just some ramblings from a mourning Rough Rider fan. Regards.