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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Spekulatius who wrote (43692)8/3/2011 4:29:05 PM
From: E_K_S  Respond to of 78701
 
Re: BG (& AG stocks)

Those were some of the same conclusions I arrived at. The fertilizer subsidiaries can really help or hurt the company's earnings just look at CF Industries Holdings, Inc. Co(: CF) or Agrium Inc. Common Stock(: AGU). Because BG sold off their fertilizer division (I think they sold it to AGU) it should be less susceptible to these large swings. I still like Agrium Inc. Common Stock(NYSE: AGU) and it's my No 2 pick as a large AG player but I have yet to buy any shares.

I did cover my EI DuPont de Nemours & Co. (DD) short (I sold some covered calls 45 days ago) as I like their seed division and I feel it is a better play than Monsanto Co. (MON). That is the only reason why I continue to hold my DD shares that I bought 1/2009 at around $23.50/share.

I am also looking at some smaller cap AG companies specifically Omega Protein Corporation Commo(NYSE: OME) a fish oil producer and Friedman Industries Inc. Common(AMEX: FRD) a steel fabricator of pipe for use in the water well industry, irrigation, fencing, culverts and posts. FRD is a new name to me but are local located in TEXAS and supply finished products to the rural farmer, specifically irrigation pipe & well linings which are needed in the ongoing drought.

My focus is to deploy new money over time so I build up a 8%-10% position in the portfolio that represents a basket of local and global AG companies. Presently I have about a 2% exposure. Here is a list of companies I currently own that comprise my AG basket: finance.yahoo.com

ULTR is a shipping company with a River Barge Business that transports soy beans & wood chips from central Brazil to ocean ports for storage, processing and eventual transport to China. (Note: Of the group I have positions in all EXCEPT AGU and FDA at this time).

I consider that most in not all of these companies provide a value proposition in either the assets they own or operate and/or the cash flows they generate and/or their attractive PE (low sector PE's). Hopefully with a growing world wide Ag sector, these company's will participate in this growth.

EKS