To: Hawkmoon who wrote (77499 ) 8/10/2011 2:36:06 AM From: 2MAR$ 1 Recommendation Respond to of 217792 well we know the China was in a fury over the botched debt deal & debate results ..now our Congress is off on 5wk vacations which is just the perks of the job , but geezus ... but they'll have to try to support the USD in some way ? (China that is , or whats the choice?) This $gold trade started firing off the 1rst of july on the pullback to 1485 & broke out to new highs just as AAPL reported earnings 21rst of July just as the S&P ran back up to that 2nd lower top . Cannot fathom how anyone could have looked at that PM trade & thought anything but short all pops on equities from July 21rst on ...especially after that GDP & ISM data (and the US Spending report ) came out putting last nail in the coffin of the "Soft Patch" idea . There was all kinds of warning & portending in that $gold run & also was very "telling" was AAPL not taking out $400 & holding it , they (traders ) were well aware of this impossible improvement in the 2nd half with so many cuts that were going to be made to erase spending . I was noting this $DXS defense index topping back on July 2nd & wondering how the hell was this going to not take a hit into the Debt reduction and HealthCare & defense shorts made the $gold trade pale in terms of % gains /mo Message 27469468 SPX made that 2nd top on declining RSI right after AAPL reported & $gold really making new highs , AAPL could not clear and hold $400 , you know that they knew what was up then .....they knew , they knew , they knew ... weeks & weeks of weakening econ data . (always look for "3waves Down" for the bounce , the reverse nearly always true too ! ;o)) Should trade in definite lwer trading range now , we'll see ...they built in enough buffer for now , so far until the next Bank blows up <g