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Politics : Liberalism: Do You Agree We've Had Enough of It? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (110686)8/15/2011 7:54:23 PM
From: TideGlider1 Recommendation  Respond to of 224890
 
good answer..



To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (110686)8/16/2011 10:43:35 AM
From: JakeStraw1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 224890
 



To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (110686)8/16/2011 11:51:35 AM
From: TideGlider2 Recommendations  Respond to of 224890
 
Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

Tuesday, August 16, 2011

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows that 19% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as president. Forty-two percent (42%) Strongly Disapprove, giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -23 ( see trends).

At 19%, the number who Strongly Approve matches the lowest total yet recorded for this president. It has fallen that low only once before, on April 11 of this year. While 45% of Democrats Strongly Approve, just 4% of Republicans and 8% of unaffiliated voters share that enthusiasm.

Seventy-one percent (71%) believe private sector companies and investors are better than government officials when it comes to determining the long-term benefits and potential of new technologies. Not surprisingly, voters also support ending farm subsidies, aid to large corporations to promote export sales and other corporate welfare programs.

Support for the concept of tax reform is strong. Sixty-four percent (64%) believe it’s better to have lower tax rates and very few deductions than to have higher rates and lots of deductions. On the corporate side, just 21% think it’s better for the government to provide targeted tax breaks that help certain companies and industries. But 66% want the government to treat all companies and industries on an equal basis.

The Presidential Approval Index is calculated by subtracting the number who Strongly Disapprove from the number who Strongly Approve. It is updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update). Updates are also available on Twitter and Facebook.

Overall, 43% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's performance. Fifty-four percent (54%) at least somewhat disapprove.

Republicans continue to hold a modest lead over Democrats on the Generic Congressional Ballot.

(More Below)



The Wall Street Journal has called Scott “America’s leading insurgent pollster” and the Washington Post says he is a “driving force in American politics.” If you’d like Scott to speak to your organization, meeting, or conference, please contact Premiere Speakers. You can also follow Scott on Facebook.

In a book released last year, Scott observed that "the gap between Americans who want to govern themselves and politicians who want to rule over them may be as big today as the gap between the colonies and England during the 18th century." He added that "the American people don't want to be governed from the left, the right, or the center. They want to govern themselves." In Search of Self-Governance is available at Amazon.com.

MAD AS HELL: How the Tea Party Movement is Fundamentally Remaking Our Two-Party System, by Scott Rasmussen and Doug Schoen, can be ordered at Amazon.com, Barnes and Noble, Borders and other outlets. It's also available in bookstores everywhere.

It is important to remember that the Rasmussen Reports job approval ratings are based upon a sample of likely voters. Some other firms base their approval ratings on samples of all adults. Obama's numbers are always several points higher in a poll of adults rather than likely voters. That's because some of the president's most enthusiastic supporters, such as young adults, are less likely to turn out to vote. It is also important to check the details of question wording when comparing approval ratings from different firms.

(More Below)



Rasmussen Reports has been a pioneer in the use of automated telephone polling techniques, but many other firms still utilize their own operator-assisted technology ( see methodology). Pollsters for Presidents Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton have cited our " unchallenged record for both integrity and accuracy."

The Pew Center noted that Rasmussen Reports beat traditional media in covering Scott Brown's upset win in Massachusetts earlier this year: "It was polling-not journalistic reporting-that caught the wave in the race to succeed Massachusetts Senator Edward M. Kennedy." Rasmussen Reports was also the first to show Joe Sestak catching Arlen Specter in the Pennsylvania Democratic Primary race last year.

Once again in 2010, Rasmussen Reports polling provided an accurate preview of Election Night outcomes. See how we did.

Larry Sabato, director of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia, noted, “This was one tough election to poll and forecast. Rasmussen Reports caught the major trends of the election year nationally and in most states.”

In December 2009, a full 11 months before Election Day. A Democratic strategist concluded that if the Rasmussen Reports Generic Congressional Ballot data was accurate, Republicans would gain 62 seats in the House during the 2010 elections. Other polls at the time suggested the Democrats would retain a comfortable majority. The Republicans gained 63 seats in the 2010 elections.

Rasmussen’s final 2010 projections were published in the Wall Street Journal. Scott Rasmussen noted that “it would be wise for all Republicans to remember that their team didn't win, the other team lost. Heading into 2012, voters will remain ready to vote against the party in power unless they are given a reason not to do so.”

In the 2009 New Jersey Governor's race, automated polls tended to be more accurate than operator-assisted polling techniques. On reviewing the state polling results from 2009, Mickey Kaus offered this assessment, "If you have a choice between Rasmussen and, say, the prestigious N.Y. Times, go with Rasmussen!"

In 2008, Obama won 53%-46% and our final poll showed Obama winning 52% to 46%. While we were pleased with the final result, Rasmussen Reports was especially pleased with the stability of our results. On every single day for the last six weeks of the campaign, our daily tracking showed Obama with a stable and solid lead attracting more than 50% of the vote.

We also have provided a summary of our 2008 state-by-state presidential results for your review.

In 2004 George W. Bush received 50.7% of the vote while John Kerry earned 48.3%. Rasmussen Reports polling projected that Bush would win 50.2% to 48.5%. We were the only firm to project both candidates' totals within half a percentage point by (see our 2004 results).

See also our 2008 state results for Senate and governor.

See 2006 results for Senate and Governor.

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for full-week results are available for Platinum Members.

Like all polling firms, Rasmussen Reports weights its data to reflect the population at large ( see methodology). Among other targets, Rasmussen Reports weights data by political party affiliation using a dynamic weighting process. While partisan affiliation is generally quite stable over time, there are a fair number of people who waver between allegiance to a particular party or independent status. Our baseline targets are established based upon separate survey interviews with a sample of adults nationwide completed during the preceding three months (a total of 45,000 interviews) and targets are updated monthly. Currently, the baseline targets for the adult population are 34.9% Republicans, 34.1% Democrats, and 31.0% unaffiliated. Likely voter samples typically show a slightly larger advantage for the Republicans.



To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (110686)8/16/2011 11:52:47 AM
From: TideGlider  Respond to of 224890
 
Generic Congressional Ballot
Generic Congressional Ballot: Republicans 44%, Democrats 37%


Monday, August 15, 2011


Republicans have bounced back to a seven-point lead on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the week ending Sunday, August 14.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 44% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for their district’s Republican congressional candidate, while 37% would choose the Democrat instead. The GOP’s lead is up five points from a week ago, the first full week survey since Congress and the president agreed on a spending cuts deal to raise the federal debt ceiling. Last week’s two-point gap was the narrowest lead Republicans had held since mid-May.

Republicans have led on the Generic Congressional Ballot every week since June 2009, leading by as much as 12 points and as little as two. The week before Election Day last November, support for Republicans peaked at 51%, the highest level of support either party has enjoyed in the last two years. GOP support has remained in the narrow range of 41% to 44% since late March, while Democrats have earned 37% to 40% in the same period.

Democrats enjoyed a seven-point lead on the Generic Congressional Ballot - 42% to 35% - when Obama took office as president in late January 2009.

Republicans hold a 13-point lead among male voters and run basically even with Democrats among female voters. Voters under 30 remain more supportive of Democrats, while older voters tend to favor the GOP more.

Seventy-six percent (76%) of black voters support the Democrats. White voters prefer Republicans over the president’s party by a 50% to 31% margin. Voters of other races are evenly divided.

Voters not affiliated with either of the major parties favor the Republicans by 11 points 36% to 25%, but 40% of these voters like a third-party candidate or are undecided.

Results for this survey are compiled on a full-week basis, and crosstabs for full-week results and Generic Ballot trends are available for Platinum Members only.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

Results for the Generic Congressional Ballot are updated each Monday at 3:00 p.m. Eastern (earlier on holidays).

For the fifth week in a row, a generic Republican candidate edges President Obama in a hypothetical 2012 election match-up.

While a majority of voters continue to favor repeal of the national health care law, there's slightly less confidence this month that it actually will happen.

A majority of voters think that thoughtful spending cuts should be considered in every program of the federal government as the nation searches for solutions to the budget crisis. But 48% of Americans think it's at least somewhat likely that spending cuts will lead to violence.

While voters aren’t convinced government spending will actually be cut, the number that thinks government spending will increase under Obama is at the lowest level since he took office.

Changes in the tax code are likely as Congress debates ways to cut the federal deficit, and most Americans are willing to sacrifice a few deductions in exchange for lower tax rates.

More voters still think the average Tea Party member has a better handle on America’s problems than the average member of Congress does, but there’s a sharp difference of opinion between Democrats and Republicans. At the same time, the number of voters who consider the Republican agenda in Congress as extreme has risen to its highest level yet, while a plurality continues to view the Democrats' agenda that way.

Confidence among Americans in the stability of the nation’s banking industry has hit rock bottom. Americans also continue to lose faith in the Federal Reserve Board's ability to keep inflation under control, with the number who say they are paying more for groceries now at an all-time high.

Fifty percent (50%) of Americans say the U.S. job market is worse than it was a year ago.

Faced with continuing high unemployment, voters feel strongly that the government needs to launch a job-creating program, but they still have far more faith in business leaders to create new jobs. They give mixed reviews to the president’s new plan to create jobs for military veterans. When it comes to job creation and improving the overall economy, most voters continue to think tax cuts will work better than government solutions.

Americans still overwhelmingly believe that those employed in the private sector work harder than government workers but receive less compensation and have less job security.

Confidence in the course of the War on Terror which surged following the killing of Osama bin Laden continues to fall. But support for bringing home U.S. troops from Afghanistan is on the rise as few Americans think we have a clearly defined mission anymore in that troubled country.

Please sign up for the Rasmussen Reports daily e-mail update (it’s free) or follow us on Twitter or Facebook. Let us keep you up to date with the latest public opinion news.



To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (110686)8/16/2011 3:04:08 PM
From: chartseer3 Recommendations  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 224890
 
Kenny is the lawyer you hire to get on Social security disability. He is so good he can get anybody on it.